Grazer AK vs Salzburg - Bundesliga autrichienne - Journee 19 - dimanche 15 février 2026 à 13:30
Stade : Merkur Arena
Score final : Grazer AK 1-1 Salzburg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Salzburg favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Salzburg favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Grazer AK, 1.8 pour Salzburg. Salzburg a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Grazer AK | 23% | 4,20 | -1,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 3,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Salzburg | 50% | 1,73 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga autrichienne :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | - | - |
| Salzburg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,78 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,98 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,28 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,85 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,89 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,00 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,36 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Grazer AK vs Salzburg :
| Statistique | Grazer AK | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,03 | 1,77 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 11 | 14 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 6 |
| Corners | 1 | 10 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 27 | 63 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -12 | 19 | 1.08 | LWWLLD | 3.4/10 |
| Salzburg | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | +25 | 50 | 1.77 | DLDWWL | 4.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Grazer AK has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Grazer AK has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Salzburg's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Grazer AK from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 7 games involving Grazer AK has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Salzburg get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Grazer AK, both home and away.
The last 5 games for Grazer AK has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Grazer AK has seen a total of 12/18 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that Grazer AK will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Salzburg has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Salzburg has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Salzburg away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Salzburg when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Grazer AK stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 18 games for Salzburg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Salzburg, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (67% of all matches) involving Salzburg has seen BTTS landing.
Grazer AK a fait match nul contre Salzburg 1-1 en Bundesliga autrichienne le dimanche 15 février 2026 à 13:30 au Merkur Arena. xG du match : 1.0 pour Grazer AK, 1.8 pour Salzburg. Possession : 34% pour Grazer AK, 66% pour Salzburg. Tirs : 11 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Grazer AK, 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Salzburg. Indice de forme : Grazer AK 3.4/10, Salzburg 4.1/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Grazer AK, 1 nul, 2 victoires Salzburg.
Score final : Grazer AK 1-1 Salzburg. L'algorithme avait prevu Salzburg (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.