Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk - Ekstraklasa - Journee 21 - dimanche 15 février 2026 à 11:15
Stade : Arena Lublin
Score final : Motor Lublin 2-3 Lechia Gdańsk
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Motor Lublin favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Motor Lublin favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Motor Lublin, 1.9 pour Lechia Gdańsk. Lechia Gdańsk a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Motor Lublin | 40% | 2,33 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,50 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Lechia Gdańsk ✓ | 32% | 2,80 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ekstraklasa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,17 | -4,0% |
| Lechia Gdańsk marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,47 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,50 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,20 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,67 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 2,33 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 2,10 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,44 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdańsk :
| Statistique | Motor Lublin | Lechia Gdańsk |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1 | 1,87 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 3 |
| Possession | 59% | 41% |
| Tirs | 7 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 9 |
| Corners | 2 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 48 | 41 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | -7 | 24 | 1.48 | WDLDWL | 3.9/10 |
| Lechia Gdańsk | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 | 1.57 | WDWWWD | 8.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Motor Lublin has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Motor Lublin has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Motor Lublin at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Lechia Gdańsk's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Motor Lublin from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
In the last 5 matches for Motor Lublin, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 13 matches (65% of all matches) involving Motor Lublin has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Lechia Gdańsk has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Lechia Gdańsk has scored 16 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Lechia Gdańsk has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Lechia Gdańsk as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 14 games for Lechia Gdańsk ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Lechia Gdańsk is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Motor Lublin, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 16 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Lechia Gdańsk has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Lechia Gdańsk has seen a total of 16/20 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 80% of all matches played.
It's likely that Lechia Gdańsk will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 16 goals in the last five games.
Motor Lublin a perdu contre Lechia Gdańsk 2-3 en Ekstraklasa le dimanche 15 février 2026 à 11:15 au Arena Lublin. xG du match : 1.0 pour Motor Lublin, 1.9 pour Lechia Gdańsk. Possession : 59% pour Motor Lublin, 41% pour Lechia Gdańsk. Tirs : 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Motor Lublin, 15 (dont 9 cadrés) pour Lechia Gdańsk. Indice de forme : Motor Lublin 3.9/10, Lechia Gdańsk 8.5/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Motor Lublin, 2 nuls, 0 victoire Lechia Gdańsk.
Score final : Motor Lublin 2-3 Lechia Gdańsk. L'algorithme avait prevu Motor Lublin (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.