Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Spain La Liga - Journee 22 - dimanche 1 février 2026 à 13:00
Stade : Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Score final : Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 52% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.3 pour Rayo Vallecano. Real Madrid a dominé les occasions créées.
Notre modele a analyse les marches de paris pour cette rencontre de Spain La Liga :
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano :
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | +28 | 51 | 2.22 | LWWWWW | 8.9/10 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -11 | 22 | 1.49 | DLDWLL | 1.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Real Madrid is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Rayo Vallecano's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Madrid from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Real Madrid ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Rayo Vallecano, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/21 games for Real Madrid this season.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Rayo Vallecano has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Rayo Vallecano has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Rayo Vallecano ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Rayo Vallecano recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Rayo Vallecano has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 48% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 4 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Rayo Vallecano, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (38% of all matches) involving Rayo Vallecano has seen BTTS landing.
Real Madrid a battu Rayo Vallecano 2-1 en Spain La Liga le dimanche 1 février 2026 à 13:00 au Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. xG du match : 2.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.3 pour Rayo Vallecano. Possession : 57% pour Real Madrid, 43% pour Rayo Vallecano. Tirs : 16 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Real Madrid, 11 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Rayo Vallecano. Indice de forme : Real Madrid 8.9/10, Rayo Vallecano 1.8/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 15 victoires Real Madrid, 4 nuls, 2 victoires Rayo Vallecano.
Score final : Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (52%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
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Espagne championne du monde : le débrief de la finale (Pronalgo) · Bilan CDM 2026 : ce que l'algo avait vu (Pronalgo) · Coupe du Monde 2026 — tableau final & résultats · Pronostics groupe par groupe (Pronalgo) · Bilan groupe par groupe après la J1 (Pronalgo) · Débrief Mexique - Afrique du Sud (Elyas) · Débrief Brésil - Maroc (Elyas) · Débrief Belgique - Égypte (Elyas) · Débrief France - Sénégal (Elyas) · Débrief Argentine - Algérie (Elyas) · Débrief Espagne - Arabie Saoudite (Elyas) · Débrief Argentine - Autriche (Elyas) · Débrief Brésil - Japon (Elyas) · Débrief Belgique - Sénégal (Pronalgo) · Débrief France - Suède (Elyas) · Débrief Espagne - Autriche (Elyas) · Débrief Argentine - Cap-Vert a.p. (Pronalgo) · Débrief France - Paraguay (Elyas) · Débrief Brésil - Norvège (Elyas) · Débrief Portugal - Espagne (Elyas) · Débrief Argentine - Égypte (Elyas) · Débrief France - Maroc QF (Elyas) · Pronostic France - Maroc QF (Pronalgo) · Pronostic Espagne - Belgique QF (Pronalgo) · Pronostic Norvège - Angleterre QF (Pronalgo) · Pronostic Argentine - Suisse QF (Pronalgo) · Pronostic France - Espagne DF (Pronalgo) · Débrief France - Espagne DF (Elyas) · Pronostic Angleterre - Argentine DF (Pronalgo) · Pronostic France - Angleterre Petite Finale (Pronalgo) · Pronostic Espagne - Argentine Finale CDM 2026 (Pronalgo) · Programme de parrainage