Reims vs Bastia - Ligue 2 - Journee 22 - vendredi 6 février 2026 à 19:00
Stade : Stade Auguste-Delaune II
Score final : Reims 0-0 Bastia
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Reims favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme avait prévu Reims favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Reims, 0.5 pour Bastia. Reims a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Reims | 53% | 1,52 | -13,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 27% | 3,45 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Bastia | 20% | 4,50 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reims marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 81% | - | - |
| Bastia marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 60% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,95 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,75 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,42 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 2,23 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 26% | 3,55 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,62 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,20 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Reims vs Bastia :
| Statistique | Reims | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,36 | 0,5 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 69% | 31% |
| Tirs | 12 | 5 |
| Tirs cadrés | 1 | 1 |
| Corners | 7 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 73 | 14 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reims | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +14 | 38 | 1.50 | WDWLWW | 7.2/10 |
| Bastia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -13 | 16 | 1.23 | DDWWLD | 4.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Reims has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Reims has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Reims is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Bastia's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Reims from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Reims enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Reims has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Reims will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Bastia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Reims has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/21 games for Reims this season.
It's likely that Reims will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Bastia has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Bastia has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Bastia has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Bastia has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
Bastia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Reims, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour Bastia ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Bastia has fired blanks in 12 games this season. That's 60% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Bastia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/20 games for Bastia this season.
Bastia will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 5 times and overall this season they have scored 0.55 goals per game.
Reims a fait match nul contre Bastia 0-0 en Ligue 2 le vendredi 6 février 2026 à 19:00 au Stade Auguste-Delaune II. xG du match : 1.4 pour Reims, 0.5 pour Bastia. Possession : 69% pour Reims, 31% pour Bastia. Tirs : 12 (dont 1 cadré) pour Reims, 5 (dont 1 cadré) pour Bastia. Indice de forme : Reims 7.2/10, Bastia 4.9/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Reims, 1 nul, 5 victoires Bastia.
Score final : Reims 0-0 Bastia. L'algorithme avait prevu Reims (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.