Middlesbrough vs Norwich City - Championship - Journee 30 - samedi 31 janvier 2026 à 15:00
Stade : Riverside Stadium
Score final : Middlesbrough 1-0 Norwich City
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Middlesbrough favori avec 58% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Middlesbrough, 0.9 pour Norwich City. Middlesbrough a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Middlesbrough ✓ | 58% | 1,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 24% | 3,90 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Norwich City | 18% | 4,40 | -5,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Championship :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,13 | -4,0% |
| Norwich City marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,42 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,66 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,23 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,84 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,64 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,08 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,38 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Middlesbrough vs Norwich City :
| Statistique | Middlesbrough | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,23 | 0,93 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Tirs | 9 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 3 |
| Corners | 3 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +17 | 55 | 1.62 | LLWWWW | 7.6/10 |
| Norwich City | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -4 | 33 | 1.34 | LWLWWW | 6.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Middlesbrough has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Middlesbrough has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Middlesbrough as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Middlesbrough has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Norwich City get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for Middlesbrough, both home and away.
Middlesbrough will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Norwich City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Middlesbrough has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/29 games for Middlesbrough this season.
It's likely that Middlesbrough will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Norwich City has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Norwich City has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Norwich City away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Norwich City when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can Middlesbrough stop this run?
Norwich City a enchaîné une bonne série de forme et reste sur 3 matchs sans défaite.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 5 derniers matchs de Norwich City s'étant soldé par 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Norwich City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Middlesbrough, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Norwich City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (69% of all matches) involving Norwich City has seen BTTS landing.
Middlesbrough a battu Norwich City 1-0 en Championship le samedi 31 janvier 2026 à 15:00 au Riverside Stadium. xG du match : 1.2 pour Middlesbrough, 0.9 pour Norwich City. Possession : 56% pour Middlesbrough, 44% pour Norwich City. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Middlesbrough, 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Norwich City. Indice de forme : Middlesbrough 7.6/10, Norwich City 6.7/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Middlesbrough, 4 nuls, 7 victoires Norwich City.
Score final : Middlesbrough 1-0 Norwich City. L'algorithme avait prevu Middlesbrough (58%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.