Padova vs Empoli - Serie B - Journee 11 - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 14:00
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Padova est favori de ce match avec 39% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Padova | 39% | 2,17 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Empoli | 29% | 3,32 | -1,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova marque (HS) | 74% | 1,24 | -7,0% |
| Empoli marque (AS) | 68% | 1,40 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 50% | 1,75 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 50% | 1,95 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 71% | 1,30 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 45% | 2,00 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 24% | 3,54 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 55% | 1,80 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 76% | 1,29 | -2,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Padova vs Empoli :
| Statistique | Padova | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,1 | 1,21 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 42,4% | 44,9% |
| Tirs | 10,3 | 11,2 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2,9 | 3,6 |
| Corners | 4,2 | 4,2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 33,4 | 33,6 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 | 1.10 | LLLWWD | 3.8/10 |
| Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 | 1.21 | LLDLLD | 0.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Calcio Padova has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Calcio Padova has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Calcio Padova has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Calcio Padova has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Calcio Padova this season.
It's likely that Calcio Padova will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Empoli has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Empoli has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Empoli when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Calcio Padova stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Empoli ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Can Empoli turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
In the last 5 matches for Empoli, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (60% of all matches) involving Empoli has seen BTTS landing.
Padova affronte Empoli en Serie B (journée 11) le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 14:00. xG moyen : 1.1 pour Padova, 1.2 pour Empoli. Buts moyens/match : 1 pour Padova, 1 pour Empoli. Possession : 42.4% pour Padova, 44.9% pour Empoli. Tirs : 10.3 (dont 2.9 cadrés) pour Padova, 11.2 (dont 3.6 cadrés) pour Empoli. Indice de forme : Padova 3.8/10, Empoli 0.6/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Padova, 4 nuls, 5 victoires Empoli.
Notre algorithme favorise Padova (39%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.