Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar - Eredivisie - Journee 12 - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:30
Stade : Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Fortuna Sittard est favori de ce match avec 40% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fortuna Sittard | 40% | 2,01 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,58 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Telstar | 30% | 2,88 | -5,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Eredivisie :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard marque (HS) | 79% | 1,19 | -5,0% |
| Telstar marque (AS) | 73% | 1,31 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 58% | 1,55 | -7,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 42% | 2,30 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 78% | 1,17 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 32% | 2,45 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 46% | 2,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 68% | 1,52 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar :
| Statistique | Fortuna Sittard | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,12 | 1,32 |
| Buts marqués | 1,64 | 1,45 |
| Possession | 35,73% | 43,64% |
| Tirs | 9,91 | 12,27 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4,36 | 3,45 |
| Corners | 2,55 | 4,36 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 25,55 | 41,27 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 1.12 | LWDDWD | 4.8/10 |
| Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 | 1.32 | DLDLLW | 2.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Fortuna Sittard has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fortuna Sittard has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fortuna Sittard a aime jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement invaincue lors de ses 2 derniers matchs.
Telstar's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fortuna Sittard from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Fortuna Sittard as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Fortuna Sittard is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Telstar, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Fortuna Sittard, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (73% of all matches) involving Fortuna Sittard has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fortuna Sittard will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Telstar has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Telstar has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Telstar has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Fortuna Sittard get in on the action today? There has been a total of 23 goals in the last 5 games for Telstar, both home and away.
Telstar has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 11 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Telstar, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (64% of all matches) involving Telstar has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Telstar will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Fortuna Sittard affronte Telstar en Eredivisie (journée 12) le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 15:30 au Fortuna Sittard Stadion. xG moyen : 1.1 pour Fortuna Sittard, 1.3 pour Telstar. Buts moyens/match : 1.64 pour Fortuna Sittard, 1.45 pour Telstar. Possession : 35.73% pour Fortuna Sittard, 43.64% pour Telstar. Tirs : 9.91 (dont 4.36 cadrés) pour Fortuna Sittard, 12.27 (dont 3.45 cadrés) pour Telstar. Indice de forme : Fortuna Sittard 4.8/10, Telstar 2.6/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 5 victoires Fortuna Sittard, 5 nuls, 11 victoires Telstar.
Notre algorithme favorise Fortuna Sittard (40%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.