Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC - MLS - dimanche 1 novembre 2026 à 21:30
Stade : Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Score final : Atlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Atlanta United FC favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.0 pour Atlanta United FC, 1.5 pour Toronto FC. Atlanta United FC a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Atlanta United FC ✓ | 38% | 2,20 | -7,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,92 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Toronto FC | 32% | 2,75 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de MLS :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,14 | -10,0% |
| Toronto FC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,21 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,40 | -13,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,70 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,14 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,39 | -17,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 2,16 | -13,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,59 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,71 | +9,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC :
| Statistique | Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,03 | 1,5 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 20 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 3 |
| Corners | 3 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 30 | 64 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 | 1.44 | DLWLLL | 1.4/10 |
| Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 | 1.39 | LWDWLW | 5.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Atlanta United FC has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Atlanta United FC has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Toronto's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Atlanta United FC from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 6 games involving Atlanta United FC has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Toronto get in on the action today? There has been a total of 19 goals in the last 5 games for Atlanta United FC, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Atlanta United FC, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (66% of all matches) involving Atlanta United FC has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Atlanta United FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Toronto has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Toronto has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 16 games for Toronto ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Toronto will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Atlanta United FC, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Toronto, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 25 matches (78% of all matches) involving Toronto has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Toronto will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Atlanta United FC a battu Toronto FC 3-1 en MLS le dimanche 1 novembre 2026 à 21:30 au Mercedes-Benz Stadium. xG du match : 2.0 pour Atlanta United FC, 1.5 pour Toronto FC. Possession : 48% pour Atlanta United FC, 52% pour Toronto FC. Tirs : 20 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Atlanta United FC, 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Toronto FC. Indice de forme : Atlanta United FC 1.4/10, Toronto FC 5.3/10. Sur 20 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Atlanta United FC, 8 nuls, 6 victoires Toronto FC.
Score final : Atlanta United FC 3-1 Toronto FC. L'algorithme avait prevu Atlanta United FC (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.