Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC - MLS - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 21:00
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Philadelphia Union est favori de ce match avec 53% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Philadelphia Union | 53% | 1,44 | -16,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,65 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Toronto FC | 23% | 5,50 | +5,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de MLS :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union marque (HS) | 88% | - | - |
| Toronto FC marque (AS) | 74% | - | - |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 65% | 1,50 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 35% | 2,55 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 86% | 1,11 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 67% | 1,36 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 45% | 1,96 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 33% | 3,05 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 55% | 1,86 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC :
| Statistique | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,85 | 1,39 |
| Buts marqués | 1,88 | 1,55 |
| Possession | 47,09% | 45,61% |
| Tirs | 16,55 | 12,24 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5,33 | 4,42 |
| Corners | 6,18 | 4,79 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 59,7 | 42,88 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +11 | 47 | 1.85 | WWDLDL | 3.8/10 |
| Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | -12 | 39 | 1.39 | WDWLWL | 4.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Philadelphia Union has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Philadelphia Union has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Toronto's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Philadelphia Union from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 11 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Philadelphia Union recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Philadelphia Union, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 22 matches (67% of all matches) involving Philadelphia Union has seen BTTS landing.
Philadelphia Union will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 6 times and overall this season they have scored 1.88 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Toronto has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Toronto has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 17 games for Toronto ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Toronto, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 26 matches (79% of all matches) involving Toronto has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Toronto will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Philadelphia Union affronte Toronto FC en MLS le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 21:00. xG moyen : 1.9 pour Philadelphia Union, 1.4 pour Toronto FC. Buts moyens/match : 1.88 pour Philadelphia Union, 1.55 pour Toronto FC. Possession : 47.09% pour Philadelphia Union, 45.61% pour Toronto FC. Tirs : 16.55 (dont 5.33 cadrés) pour Philadelphia Union, 12.24 (dont 4.42 cadrés) pour Toronto FC. Indice de forme : Philadelphia Union 3.8/10, Toronto FC 4.9/10. Sur 38 confrontations directes : 12 victoires Philadelphia Union, 11 nuls, 15 victoires Toronto FC.
Notre algorithme favorise Philadelphia Union (53%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.