Pérou vs Venezuela - WC Qualification South America - Journee 6 - mercredi 22 novembre 2023 à 02:00
Stade : Estadio Nacional de Lima
Score final : Pérou 1-1 Venezuela
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Pérou favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu Pérou favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Pérou, 1.0 pour Venezuela. Pérou a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Pérou | 48% | 2,45 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 30% | 2,90 | -4,0% |
| Victoire Venezuela | 22% | 3,30 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de WC Qualification South America :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pérou marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,39 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Venezuela marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,55 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,57 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,55 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,88 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 22% | 5,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,40 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,16 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Pérou vs Venezuela :
| Statistique | Pérou | Venezuela |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,13 | 1,02 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 47% | 53% |
| Tirs | 9 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 3 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 27 | 50 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pérou | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 | 0.52 | DLLLL | 0.8/10 |
| Venezuela | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 | 0.89 | LWDWD | 5.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Peru has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Peru has scored 0 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Peru turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Peru recently, with the side failing to score in 5 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Peru has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 100% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 0 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Peru has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 0/5 games for Peru this season.
Peru will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 5 matches. During the last five games they have scored 0 times and overall this season they have scored 0 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Venezuela has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Venezuela has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Venezuela as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Venezuela has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Venezuela will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Peru, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Venezuela recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Venezuela has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Venezuela has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 1/5 games for Venezuela this season.
Pérou a fait match nul contre Venezuela 1-1 en WC Qualification South America le mercredi 22 novembre 2023 à 02:00 au Estadio Nacional de Lima. xG du match : 1.1 pour Pérou, 1.0 pour Venezuela. Possession : 47% pour Pérou, 53% pour Venezuela. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Pérou, 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Venezuela. Indice de forme : Pérou 0.8/10, Venezuela 5.3/10. Sur 7 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Pérou, 3 nuls, 1 victoire Venezuela.
Score final : Pérou 1-1 Venezuela. L'algorithme avait prevu Pérou (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.