Aldosivi vs River Plate - Liga Profesional Argentina - Journee 16 - jeudi 5 novembre 2026 à 18:00
Stade : Estadio José María Minella
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, River Plate est favori de ce match avec 53% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Aldosivi | 19% | 6,80 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 28% | 4,35 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire River Plate | 53% | 1,33 | -22,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Profesional Argentina :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi marque (HS) | 57% | 1,75 | 0,0% |
| River Plate marque (AS) | 79% | 1,11 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 45% | 2,00 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 55% | 1,73 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 69% | 1,26 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 43% | 1,89 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 22% | 3,05 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 57% | 1,93 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 78% | 1,28 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Aldosivi vs River Plate :
| Statistique | Aldosivi | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,37 | 1,81 |
| Buts marqués | 0,71 | 1,37 |
| Possession | 43,16% | 63,94% |
| Tirs | 12,58 | 16,17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3,42 | 5,34 |
| Corners | 4,16 | 5,54 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46,26 | 56,37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 11 | 1.37 | WLLLWL | 2.3/10 |
| River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 23 | 1.81 | LWDWWL | 5.4/10 |
Coming into this game, Aldosivi has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Aldosivi has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
River Plate's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Aldosivi from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 6 home matches this season.
Aldosivi has fired blanks in 13 games this season. That's 42% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 4 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Aldosivi, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 16 matches (52% of all matches) involving Aldosivi has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Aldosivi will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 4 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, River Plate has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. River Plate has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
River Plate has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 13 occasions.
River Plate will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Aldosivi, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 1 of the last 5 games for River Plate has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/35 games for River Plate this season.
Aldosivi affronte River Plate en Liga Profesional Argentina (journée 16) le jeudi 5 novembre 2026 à 18:00 au Estadio José María Minella. xG moyen : 1.4 pour Aldosivi, 1.8 pour River Plate. Buts moyens/match : 0.71 pour Aldosivi, 1.37 pour River Plate. Possession : 43.16% pour Aldosivi, 63.94% pour River Plate. Tirs : 12.58 (dont 3.42 cadrés) pour Aldosivi, 16.17 (dont 5.34 cadrés) pour River Plate. Indice de forme : Aldosivi 2.3/10, River Plate 5.4/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Aldosivi, 1 nul, 7 victoires River Plate.
Notre algorithme favorise River Plate (53%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.