Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Just - Liga Profesional Argentina - Journee 16 - samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 20:30
Stade : Estadio Alberto José Armando
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Boca Juniors est favori de ce match avec 62% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Boca Juniors | 62% | 1,28 | -16,0% |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,59 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Defensa y Just | 16% | 7,60 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Profesional Argentina :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors marque (HS) | 87% | 1,12 | -2,0% |
| Defensa y Just marque (AS) | 60% | 1,89 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 52% | 2,05 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 48% | 1,70 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 79% | 1,26 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 56% | 1,82 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 34% | 2,81 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 44% | 1,95 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 66% | 1,36 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Just :
| Statistique | Boca Juniors | Defensa y Just |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,62 | 1,48 |
| Buts marqués | 1,47 | 1,26 |
| Possession | 60,81% | 52,39% |
| Tirs | 14,19 | 12,45 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4,69 | 4,71 |
| Corners | 5,28 | 4,19 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54,22 | 49,68 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | +9 | 30 | 1.62 | WWDWWW | 8.9/10 |
| Defensa y Just | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 28 | 1.48 | DWWLWD | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Boca Juniors has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Boca Juniors has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Boca Juniors is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Boca Juniors at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Defensa y Justicia's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Boca Juniors from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 12 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Boca Juniors as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Boca Juniors has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 15 occasions.
Boca Juniors is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Defensa y Justicia, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Boca Juniors has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/32 games for Boca Juniors this season.
It's likely that Boca Juniors will score today, as they have netted in the last 14 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Defensa y Justicia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Defensa y Justicia has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Defensa y Justicia has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Defensa y Justicia enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Defensa y Justicia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Boca Juniors, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Defensa y Justicia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 17/31 games for Defensa y Justicia this season.
Boca Juniors affronte Defensa y Just en Liga Profesional Argentina (journée 16) le samedi 7 novembre 2026 à 20:30 au Estadio Alberto José Armando. xG moyen : 1.6 pour Boca Juniors, 1.5 pour Defensa y Just. Buts moyens/match : 1.47 pour Boca Juniors, 1.26 pour Defensa y Just. Possession : 60.81% pour Boca Juniors, 52.39% pour Defensa y Just. Tirs : 14.19 (dont 4.69 cadrés) pour Boca Juniors, 12.45 (dont 4.71 cadrés) pour Defensa y Just. Indice de forme : Boca Juniors 8.9/10, Defensa y Just 6.2/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Boca Juniors, 4 nuls, 3 victoires Defensa y Just.
Notre algorithme favorise Boca Juniors (62%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.