Derry City vs Tobol - Conference League - jeudi 17 août 2023 à 18:45
Score final : Derry City 1-0 Tobol
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Derry City favori avec 54% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Derry City, 1.6 pour Tobol. Derry City a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Derry City ✓ | 54% | 1,95 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Tobol | 16% | 3,40 | -13,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Conference League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,22 | -6,0% |
| Tobol marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,50 | -18,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 37% | 2,10 | -11,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,67 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,33 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 2,30 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 16% | 3,60 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,60 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 84% | 1,28 | +6,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Derry City vs Tobol :
| Statistique | Derry City | Tobol |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,81 | 1,62 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 13 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 4 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 87 | 86 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1.78 | LWLLL | 4.9/10 |
| Tobol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 1.82 | DLLLLW | 6.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Derry City has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Derry City has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Derry City will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Derry City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Tobol, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Derry City recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Derry City has fired blanks in 2 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Derry City has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 2/5 games for Derry City this season.
Coming into this game, Tobol has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Tobol has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Tobol has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Tobol will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Derry City, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Tobol, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (60% of all matches) involving Tobol has seen BTTS landing.
Derry City a battu Tobol 1-0 en Conference League le jeudi 17 août 2023 à 18:45. xG du match : 1.8 pour Derry City, 1.6 pour Tobol. Possession : 54% pour Derry City, 46% pour Tobol. Tirs : 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Derry City, 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Tobol. Indice de forme : Derry City 4.9/10, Tobol 6.2/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Derry City, 0 nul, 1 victoire Tobol.
Score final : Derry City 1-0 Tobol. L'algorithme avait prevu Derry City (54%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.