KRC Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 1 - lundi 1 avril 2024 à 16:30
Stade : Cegeka Arena (Genk)
Score final : KRC Genk 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise
L'algorithme Pronalgo avait estimé ce match très équilibré (32% / 37% / 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu un match équilibré, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour KRC Genk, 1.5 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Union Saint-Gilloise a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire KRC Genk ✓ | 32% | 2,84 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 37% | 3,50 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise | 31% | 2,40 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| KRC Genk marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,29 | -12,0% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,22 | -17,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,57 | -21,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 2,25 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 63% | 1,22 | -19,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 1,70 | -23,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 17% | 2,90 | -17,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 2,08 | +16,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,42 | +13,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour KRC Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise :
| Statistique | KRC Genk | Union Saint-Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,99 | 1,49 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 8 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 2 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 44 | 70 |
Coming into this game, KRC Genk has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. KRC Genk has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le KRC Genk est sur une bonne dynamique et vient d'enchaîner 2 matchs sans défaite.
KRC Genk will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Union Saint-Gilloise, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for KRC Genk has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 16/30 games for KRC Genk this season.
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 13 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Union Saint-Gilloise when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 13 games they have played on the road. Can KRC Genk stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 24 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Union Saint-Gilloise ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against KRC Genk, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (67% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Union Saint-Gilloise will score today, as they have netted in the last 24 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
KRC Genk a battu Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 en Jupiler Pro League le lundi 1 avril 2024 à 16:30 au Cegeka Arena (Genk). xG du match : 1.0 pour KRC Genk, 1.5 pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession : 46% pour KRC Genk, 54% pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour KRC Genk, 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise. Indice de forme : KRC Genk 5.7/10, Union Saint-Gilloise 7/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 2 victoires KRC Genk, 2 nuls, 4 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise.
Score final : KRC Genk 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise. L'algorithme avait prevu match nul (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.