Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 11 - dimanche 8 novembre 2026 à 17:30
Stade : Stade Joseph Mariën
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Union Saint-Gilloise est favori de ce match avec 63% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise | 63% | 1,52 | -3,0% |
| Match nul | 19% | 4,20 | -5,0% |
| Victoire KRC Genk | 18% | 4,90 | -2,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (HS) | 88% | 1,11 | -2,0% |
| KRC Genk marque (AS) | 65% | 1,47 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 57% | 1,60 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 43% | 2,25 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 82% | 1,15 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 61% | 1,60 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 39% | 2,48 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 39% | 2,30 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 61% | 1,55 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Union Saint-Gilloise vs KRC Genk :
| Statistique | Union Saint-Gilloise | KRC Genk |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,97 | 1,72 |
| Buts marqués | 2,9 | 1,8 |
| Possession | 52,5% | 55,1% |
| Tirs | 16,3 | 14,9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7,5 | 5 |
| Corners | 6,4 | 5,1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 58 | 58,9 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 26 | 1.97 | WWWDWW | 9.7/10 |
| KRC Genk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | 1.72 | DDLWWL | 4.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Union Saint-Gilloise at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
KRC Genk's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Union Saint-Gilloise from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Union Saint-Gilloise ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Union Saint-Gilloise is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against KRC Genk, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Union Saint-Gilloise, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (50% of all matches) involving Union Saint-Gilloise has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Union Saint-Gilloise will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, KRC Genk has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. KRC Genk has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour le KRC Genk récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou fera-t-il entrer un autre attaquant ?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for KRC Genk has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for KRC Genk this season.
Union Saint-Gilloise affronte KRC Genk en Jupiler Pro League (journée 11) le dimanche 8 novembre 2026 à 17:30 au Stade Joseph Mariën. xG moyen : 2.0 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.7 pour KRC Genk. Buts moyens/match : 2.9 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 1.8 pour KRC Genk. Possession : 52.5% pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 55.1% pour KRC Genk. Tirs : 16.3 (dont 7.5 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 14.9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour KRC Genk. Indice de forme : Union Saint-Gilloise 9.7/10, KRC Genk 4.2/10. Sur 16 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise, 2 nuls, 4 victoires KRC Genk.
Notre algorithme favorise Union Saint-Gilloise (63%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.