Sturm Graz vs Salzburg - Bundesliga autrichienne - Journee 2 - dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 15:00
Stade : Merkur Arena (Graz)
Score final : Sturm Graz 0-1 Salzburg
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Salzburg favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Sturm Graz, 1.0 pour Salzburg. Salzburg a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sturm Graz | 25% | 3,00 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,40 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Salzburg ✓ | 48% | 2,21 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga autrichienne :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,36 | -6,0% |
| Salzburg marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,75 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,00 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,30 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 2,02 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 3,40 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,84 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,30 | -8,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sturm Graz vs Salzburg :
| Statistique | Sturm Graz | Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,98 | 0,99 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 9 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 0 | 3 |
| Corners | 6 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 83 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 | 1.57 | WWDDDW | 7.9/10 |
| Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 | 1.66 | WLDLWW | 8.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Sturm Graz has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Sturm Graz has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sturm Graz has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Salzburg's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Sturm Graz from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Sturm Graz as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Sturm Graz ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Sturm Graz has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Sturm Graz is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Salzburg, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 12 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Sturm Graz has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/23 games for Sturm Graz this season.
It's likely that Sturm Graz will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Salzburg has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Salzburg has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Salzburg away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 11 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Salzburg as they have now gone 12 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Salzbourg a gardé sa cage inviolée 3 fois lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, concédant 2 buts sur cette période. Au total cette saison, leur défense a réalisé un clean sheet à 13 reprises.
Salzburg is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sturm Graz, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 15 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Salzburg has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/23 games for Salzburg this season.
It's likely that Salzburg will score today, as they have netted in the last 9 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Sturm Graz a perdu contre Salzburg 0-1 en Bundesliga autrichienne le dimanche 31 mars 2024 à 15:00 au Merkur Arena (Graz). xG du match : 1.0 pour Sturm Graz, 1.0 pour Salzburg. Possession : 48% pour Sturm Graz, 52% pour Salzburg. Tirs : 9 (dont 0 cadrés) pour Sturm Graz, 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Salzburg. Indice de forme : Sturm Graz 7.9/10, Salzburg 8.7/10. Sur 44 confrontations directes : 9 victoires Sturm Graz, 10 nuls, 25 victoires Salzburg.
Score final : Sturm Graz 0-1 Salzburg. L'algorithme avait prevu Salzburg (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.