Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 8 - vendredi 29 septembre 2023 à 16:30
Stade : Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Score final : Hamburger SV 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Hamburger SV favori avec 56% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Hamburger SV, 1.0 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf. Hamburger SV a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hamburger SV ✓ | 56% | 1,91 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 23% | 4,30 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Fortuna Düsseldorf | 21% | 3,40 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 88% | 1,11 | -2,0% |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,26 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,44 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 84% | 1,18 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,56 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 2,00 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 36% | 2,13 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,75 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hamburger SV vs Fortuna Düsseldorf :
| Statistique | Hamburger SV | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,44 | 1 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 63% | 37% |
| Tirs | 12 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 3 |
| Corners | 8 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 88 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 | 1.86 | DWWWLL | 5.5/10 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 14 | 1.67 | DLWWWD | 6.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Hamburger SV has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Hamburger SV has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Hamburger SV is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Le Hamburger SV aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record d'au moins un but inscrit dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Hamburger SV has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Hamburger SV has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/7 games for Hamburger SV this season.
It's likely that Hamburger SV will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Fortuna Düsseldorf has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Fortuna Düsseldorf has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Fortuna Düsseldorf has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Fortuna Düsseldorf as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 5 games for Fortuna Düsseldorf ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Fortuna Düsseldorf will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Hamburger SV, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Fortuna Düsseldorf, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (57% of all matches) involving Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Fortuna Düsseldorf will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Hamburger SV a battu Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 en 2. Bundesliga le vendredi 29 septembre 2023 à 16:30 au Volksparkstadion (Hamburg). xG du match : 1.4 pour Hamburger SV, 1.0 pour Fortuna Düsseldorf. Possession : 63% pour Hamburger SV, 37% pour Fortuna Düsseldorf. Tirs : 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Hamburger SV, 10 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Fortuna Düsseldorf. Indice de forme : Hamburger SV 5.5/10, Fortuna Düsseldorf 6.5/10. Sur 9 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Hamburger SV, 5 nuls, 1 victoire Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Score final : Hamburger SV 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. L'algorithme avait prevu Hamburger SV (56%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.