Sporting CP vs FC Arouca - Liga Portugal - Journee 8 - dimanche 8 octobre 2023 à 19:30
Stade : Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa)
Score final : Sporting CP 2-1 FC Arouca
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Sporting CP favori avec 74% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Sporting CP, 1.2 pour FC Arouca. Sporting CP a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Sporting CP ✓ | 74% | 1,22 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 16% | 5,80 | -1,0% |
| Victoire FC Arouca | 10% | 9,00 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 92% | 1,03 | -5,0% |
| FC Arouca marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 2,10 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 2,25 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,63 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,16 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,56 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,35 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,57 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Sporting CP vs FC Arouca :
| Statistique | Sporting CP | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,77 | 1,24 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 14 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 72 | 34 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 | 1.96 | WWWWWD | 9/10 |
| FC Arouca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | 1.27 | LWWWDD | 1/10 |
Coming into this game, Sporting CP has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Sporting CP has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Sporting CP is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Le Sporting CP aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir sa série de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Momentum is really building for Sporting CP as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Sporting CP ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Sporting CP has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Sporting CP is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Arouca, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Sporting CP has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/7 games for Sporting CP this season.
It's likely that Sporting CP will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Arouca has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. FC Arouca has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can FC Arouca turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for FC Arouca recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
FC Arouca has fired blanks in 3 games this season. That's 43% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for FC Arouca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/7 games for FC Arouca this season.
FC Arouca will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 1.14 goals per game.
Sporting CP a battu FC Arouca 2-1 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 8 octobre 2023 à 19:30 au Estádio José Alvalade (Lisboa). xG du match : 1.8 pour Sporting CP, 1.2 pour FC Arouca. Possession : 57% pour Sporting CP, 43% pour FC Arouca. Tirs : 14 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Sporting CP, 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour FC Arouca. Indice de forme : Sporting CP 9/10, FC Arouca 1/10. Sur 12 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Sporting CP, 1 nul, 1 victoire FC Arouca.
Score final : Sporting CP 2-1 FC Arouca. L'algorithme avait prevu Sporting CP (74%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.