Santa Clara vs AVS - Liga Pro - Journee 10 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores)
Score final : Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Santa Clara favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Santa Clara, 1.1 pour AVS. Santa Clara a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Santa Clara ✓ | 36% | 2,20 | -9,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,15 | 0,0% |
| Victoire AVS | 32% | 3,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,30 | -1,0% |
| AVS marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,44 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,92 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,79 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 2,30 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 30% | 4,00 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,58 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,19 | -14,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Santa Clara vs AVS :
| Statistique | Santa Clara | AVS |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,75 | 1,14 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 60% | 40% |
| Tirs | 20 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 3 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 17 | 1.38 | WDDWDD | 6/10 |
| AVS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 22 | 1.66 | WWWWWL | 7.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Santa Clara has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Santa Clara has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Santa Clara at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Santa Clara as they have now gone 9 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Santa Clara ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Santa Clara is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against AVS, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Santa Clara, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (33% of all matches) involving Santa Clara has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Santa Clara will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, AVS has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AVS has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
AVS has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
AVS will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Santa Clara, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AVS has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/9 games for AVS this season.
Santa Clara a battu AVS 2-1 en Liga Pro le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 15:30 au Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores). xG du match : 1.8 pour Santa Clara, 1.1 pour AVS. Possession : 60% pour Santa Clara, 40% pour AVS. Tirs : 20 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Santa Clara, 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour AVS. Indice de forme : Santa Clara 6/10, AVS 7.3/10.
Score final : Santa Clara 2-1 AVS. L'algorithme avait prevu Santa Clara (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.