Vilaverdense vs CD Tondela - Liga Pro - Journee 10 - dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 11:00
Stade : Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves)
Score final : Vilaverdense 1-2 CD Tondela
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Tondela favori avec 43% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour Vilaverdense, 1.2 pour CD Tondela. Vilaverdense a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Vilaverdense | 29% | 2,60 | -9,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,20 | -3,0% |
| Victoire CD Tondela ✓ | 43% | 2,37 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vilaverdense marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,29 | -4,0% |
| CD Tondela marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,29 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,65 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,05 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,29 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 36% | 3,25 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 1,74 | -15,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 64% | 1,33 | -11,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Vilaverdense vs CD Tondela :
| Statistique | Vilaverdense | CD Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,25 | 1,18 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 10 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 8 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 44 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilaverdense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 | 1.40 | LLLLLW | 0.6/10 |
| CD Tondela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 | 1.38 | LLDLLW | 3.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Vilaverdense has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Vilaverdense has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Vilaverdense ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Vilaverdense recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Vilaverdense has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 3 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Vilaverdense has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/9 games for Vilaverdense this season.
Coming into this game, CD Tondela has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. CD Tondela has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Tondela has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 5 games involving CD Tondela has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Vilaverdense get in on the action today? There has been a total of 20 goals in the last 5 games for CD Tondela, both home and away.
CD Tondela will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Vilaverdense, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for CD Tondela has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season CD Tondela has seen a total of 8/9 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 89% of all matches played.
It's likely that CD Tondela will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Vilaverdense a perdu contre CD Tondela 1-2 en Liga Pro le dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 11:00 au Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves). xG du match : 1.3 pour Vilaverdense, 1.2 pour CD Tondela. Possession : 45% pour Vilaverdense, 55% pour CD Tondela. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Vilaverdense, 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CD Tondela. Indice de forme : Vilaverdense 0.6/10, CD Tondela 3.8/10.
Score final : Vilaverdense 1-2 CD Tondela. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Tondela (43%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.