CD Tondela vs CD Feirense - Liga Pro - Journee 11 - samedi 18 novembre 2023 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)
Score final : CD Tondela 2-0 CD Feirense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Tondela favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour CD Tondela, 1.2 pour CD Feirense. CD Tondela a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CD Tondela ✓ | 40% | 1,86 | -14,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,60 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire CD Feirense | 28% | 4,03 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,20 | -9,0% |
| CD Feirense marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,48 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,80 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,95 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,30 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,86 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 22% | 3,50 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,93 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,28 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CD Tondela vs CD Feirense :
| Statistique | CD Tondela | CD Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,88 | 1,17 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 34% | 66% |
| Tirs | 19 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 9 | 5 |
| Corners | 4 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 43 | 50 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Tondela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 | 1.36 | LLDLLW | 5.5/10 |
| CD Feirense | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 | 1.24 | DDLWLD | 4/10 |
Coming into this game, CD Tondela has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. CD Tondela has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Feirense's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop CD Tondela from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 6 games involving CD Tondela has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will CD Feirense get in on the action today? There has been a total of 20 goals in the last 5 games for CD Tondela, both home and away.
CD Tondela will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CD Feirense, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
The last 5 games for CD Tondela has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season CD Tondela has seen a total of 9/10 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 90% of all matches played.
It's likely that CD Tondela will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, CD Feirense has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. CD Feirense has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Feirense has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for CD Feirense has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 3/10 games for CD Feirense this season.
CD Tondela a battu CD Feirense 2-0 en Liga Pro le samedi 18 novembre 2023 à 15:30 au Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela). xG du match : 1.9 pour CD Tondela, 1.2 pour CD Feirense. Possession : 34% pour CD Tondela, 66% pour CD Feirense. Tirs : 19 (dont 9 cadrés) pour CD Tondela, 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CD Feirense. Indice de forme : CD Tondela 5.5/10, CD Feirense 4/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 3 victoires CD Tondela, 5 nuls, 5 victoires CD Feirense.
Score final : CD Tondela 2-0 CD Feirense. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Tondela (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.