Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense FC - Liga Portugal - Journee 11 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)
Score final : Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense FC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Moreirense FC favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Estrela Amadora, 1.0 pour Moreirense FC. Les deux équipes ont créé des occasions similaires.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Estrela Amadora | 33% | 2,61 | -5,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,07 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Moreirense FC ✓ | 35% | 2,81 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,30 | -4,0% |
| Moreirense FC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,73 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,00 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 75% | 1,33 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 2,00 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,53 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,76 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,29 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Estrela Amadora vs Moreirense FC :
| Statistique | Estrela Amadora | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,02 | 1,02 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 12 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 3 |
| Corners | 2 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 41 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 | 1.20 | DDLDLW | 3.4/10 |
| Moreirense FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | 1.21 | LLWWWW | 7.2/10 |
Coming into this game, Estrela Amadora has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Estrela Amadora has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
In the last 5 matches for Estrela Amadora, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (50% of all matches) involving Estrela Amadora has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Estrela Amadora will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Moreirense FC has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Moreirense FC has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Moreirense FC has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Moreirense FC as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Moreirense FC has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Moreirense FC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Estrela Amadora, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Moreirense FC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/10 games for Moreirense FC this season.
It's likely that Moreirense FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Estrela Amadora a perdu contre Moreirense FC 0-1 en Liga Portugal le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00 au Estádio José Gomes (Amadora). xG du match : 1.0 pour Estrela Amadora, 1.0 pour Moreirense FC. Possession : 57% pour Estrela Amadora, 43% pour Moreirense FC. Tirs : 12 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Estrela Amadora, 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Moreirense FC. Indice de forme : Estrela Amadora 3.4/10, Moreirense FC 7.2/10. Sur 3 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Estrela Amadora, 1 nul, 2 victoires Moreirense FC.
Score final : Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense FC. L'algorithme avait prevu Moreirense FC (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.