Union Saint-Gilloise vs AS Eupen - Jupiler Pro League - Journee 11 - vendredi 20 octobre 2023 à 18:45
Stade : Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels))
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 AS Eupen
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Union Saint-Gilloise favori avec 65% de chances de victoire (nul 19%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.5 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 0.7 pour AS Eupen. Union Saint-Gilloise a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Union Saint-Gilloise ✓ | 65% | 1,29 | -13,0% |
| Match nul | 19% | 5,75 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire AS Eupen | 16% | 9,75 | +6,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Jupiler Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 90% | 1,05 | -5,0% |
| AS Eupen marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,73 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,91 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 1,91 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,16 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,66 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 45% | 2,40 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,23 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 55% | 1,57 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Union Saint-Gilloise vs AS Eupen :
| Statistique | Union Saint-Gilloise | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,48 | 0,66 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 1 |
| Possession | 56% | 44% |
| Tirs | 22 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 12 | 2 |
| Corners | 3 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 61 | 18 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +10 | 25 | 1.83 | DDLLLL | 7.9/10 |
| AS Eupen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 | 1.18 | WLLLLL | 0.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Union Saint-Gilloise has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Union Saint-Gilloise has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for Union Saint-Gilloise as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Union Saint-Gilloise ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Union Saint-Gilloise will be looking to keep up the momentum today against AS Eupen, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Union Saint-Gilloise has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/10 games for Union Saint-Gilloise this season.
It's likely that Union Saint-Gilloise will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, AS Eupen has picked up 0 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. AS Eupen has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving AS Eupen has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Union Saint-Gilloise get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for AS Eupen, both home and away.
L'AS Eupen peut-elle renverser la vapeur ? Ils n'ont pas gagné lors de leurs 5 derniers matchs avant cette rencontre, avec 0 nul et 5 défaites.
In the last 5 matches for AS Eupen, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (70% of all matches) involving AS Eupen has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that AS Eupen will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 4 goals in the last five games.
Union Saint-Gilloise a battu AS Eupen 4-1 en Jupiler Pro League le vendredi 20 octobre 2023 à 18:45 au Stade Joseph Mariën (Bruxelles (Brussels)). xG du match : 2.5 pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 0.7 pour AS Eupen. Possession : 56% pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 44% pour AS Eupen. Tirs : 22 (dont 12 cadrés) pour Union Saint-Gilloise, 7 (dont 2 cadrés) pour AS Eupen. Indice de forme : Union Saint-Gilloise 7.9/10, AS Eupen 0.1/10. Sur 6 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Union Saint-Gilloise, 2 nuls, 1 victoire AS Eupen.
Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 AS Eupen. L'algorithme avait prevu Union Saint-Gilloise (65%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.