Al Fateh vs Al Hilal - Saudi Pro League - Journee 12 - vendredi 3 novembre 2023 à 15:00
Stade : Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium (Al-Hasa)
Score final : Al Fateh 0-2 Al Hilal
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Hilal favori avec 49% de chances de victoire (nul 23%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Al Fateh, 1.6 pour Al Hilal. Al Hilal a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Fateh | 28% | 6,55 | +13,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 23% | 5,35 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Al Hilal ✓ | 49% | 1,41 | -22,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 81% | 1,43 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Al Hilal marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,04 | -7,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,55 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 28% | 2,40 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 90% | 1,11 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 74% | 1,37 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,91 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 26% | 3,15 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 1,90 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Fateh vs Al Hilal :
| Statistique | Al Fateh | Al Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,44 | 1,57 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 18 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 4 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 46 | 43 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 23 | 1.34 | WLDDLW | 9/10 |
| Al Hilal | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +22 | 29 | 2.22 | WWWDWW | 9.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Fateh has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Al Fateh has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Fateh is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Al Hilal's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Fateh from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Al Fateh as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Al Fateh ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Al Fateh will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Al Hilal, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
The last 5 games for Al Fateh has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Al Fateh has seen a total of 10/11 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 91% of all matches played.
It's likely that Al Fateh will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Hilal has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Al Hilal has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Al Hilal away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Al Hilal when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Al Fateh stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Hilal as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Al Hilal has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Al Hilal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Fateh, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Al Hilal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/11 games for Al Hilal this season.
It's likely that Al Hilal will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Al Fateh a perdu contre Al Hilal 0-2 en Saudi Pro League le vendredi 3 novembre 2023 à 15:00 au Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium (Al-Hasa). xG du match : 1.4 pour Al Fateh, 1.6 pour Al Hilal. Possession : 50% pour Al Fateh, 50% pour Al Hilal. Tirs : 18 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Al Fateh, 13 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Al Hilal. Indice de forme : Al Fateh 9/10, Al Hilal 9.6/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Al Fateh, 3 nuls, 15 victoires Al Hilal.
Score final : Al Fateh 0-2 Al Hilal. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Hilal (49%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.