Elversberg vs St. Pauli - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 12 - vendredi 3 novembre 2023 à 17:30
Stade : URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)
Score final : Elversberg 0-2 St. Pauli
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit St. Pauli favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.8 pour Elversberg, 1.3 pour St. Pauli. St. Pauli a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Elversberg | 31% | 3,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,90 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire St. Pauli ✓ | 40% | 2,04 | -9,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,30 | 0,0% |
| St. Pauli marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,14 | -6,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,50 | -5,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 2,50 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,17 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 61% | 1,53 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,40 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 39% | 2,38 | -3,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,55 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Elversberg vs St. Pauli :
| Statistique | Elversberg | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,81 | 1,29 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 2 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 8 | 11 |
| Tirs cadrés | 3 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 42 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 | 1.45 | WWDDWW | 8.1/10 |
| St. Pauli | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +13 | 23 | 1.80 | LWWLWW | 9.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Elversberg has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Elversberg has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Elversberg a aimé jouer à domicile récemment, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 3 matchs sans défaite.
St. Pauli's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Elversberg from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Elversberg as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Elversberg ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Elversberg is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against St. Pauli, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Elversberg, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (64% of all matches) involving Elversberg has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Elversberg will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, St. Pauli has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. St. Pauli has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from St. Pauli away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for St. Pauli as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 7 derniers matchs de St. Pauli s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
St. Pauli is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Elversberg, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for St. Pauli has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season St. Pauli has seen a total of 8/11 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 73% of all matches played.
It's likely that St. Pauli will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Elversberg a perdu contre St. Pauli 0-2 en 2. Bundesliga le vendredi 3 novembre 2023 à 17:30 au URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). xG du match : 0.8 pour Elversberg, 1.3 pour St. Pauli. Possession : 45% pour Elversberg, 55% pour St. Pauli. Tirs : 8 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Elversberg, 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour St. Pauli. Indice de forme : Elversberg 8.1/10, St. Pauli 9.3/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Elversberg, 0 nul, 0 victoire St. Pauli.
Score final : Elversberg 0-2 St. Pauli. L'algorithme avait prevu St. Pauli (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.