Fiorentina vs Bologna - Serie A - Journee 12 - dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 14:00
Stade : Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Score final : Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Fiorentina favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 27%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Fiorentina, 1.2 pour Bologna. Bologna a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Fiorentina ✓ | 50% | 2,05 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 27% | 3,60 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Bologna | 23% | 3,40 | -6,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,22 | -1,0% |
| Bologna marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,43 | -5,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,75 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,00 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,82 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,20 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,99 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,31 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Fiorentina vs Bologna :
| Statistique | Fiorentina | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,01 | 1,21 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 39% | 61% |
| Tirs | 13 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 0 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 27 | 40 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | 1.46 | WLWDWW | 3/10 |
| Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +4 | 18 | 1.30 | WDDWDL | 6.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Les choses n'ont pas été si faciles devant le but pour la Fiorentina récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur changera-t-il ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou alignera-t-il un attaquant de plus ?
Fiorentina has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 6 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Fiorentina has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/11 games for Fiorentina this season.
Fiorentina will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 3 matches. During the last five games they have scored 6 times and overall this season they have scored 1.64 goals per game.
Coming into this game, Bologna has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Bologna has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Bologna away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Bologna as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Bologna is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Fiorentina, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Bologna has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 9 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Bologna, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (45% of all matches) involving Bologna has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Bologna will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Fiorentina a battu Bologna 2-1 en Serie A le dimanche 12 novembre 2023 à 14:00 au Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze). xG du match : 1.0 pour Fiorentina, 1.2 pour Bologna. Possession : 39% pour Fiorentina, 61% pour Bologna. Tirs : 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Fiorentina, 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Bologna. Indice de forme : Fiorentina 3/10, Bologna 6.8/10. Sur 28 confrontations directes : 14 victoires Fiorentina, 9 nuls, 5 victoires Bologna.
Score final : Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna. L'algorithme avait prevu Fiorentina (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.