Hatayspor vs Galatasaray - Süper Lig - Journee 12 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 16:00
Stade : Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)
Score final : Hatayspor 2-1 Galatasaray
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Galatasaray favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme avait prévu Galatasaray favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Hatayspor, 1.8 pour Galatasaray. Galatasaray a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hatayspor ✓ | 22% | 5,70 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 26% | 4,75 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Galatasaray | 51% | 1,44 | -18,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Süper Lig :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,50 | -1,0% |
| Galatasaray marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,07 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,65 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,16 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,11 | -12,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,46 | -14,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 32% | 2,25 | -12,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,47 | +6,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,65 | +7,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hatayspor vs Galatasaray :
| Statistique | Hatayspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,91 | 1,84 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 29% | 71% |
| Tirs | 7 | 19 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 8 |
| Corners | 2 | 9 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 15 | 70 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +3 | 14 | 1.25 | WDWLLL | 3/10 |
| Galatasaray | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 31 | 1.84 | WWWWWW | 9.6/10 |
Coming into this game, Hatayspor has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Hatayspor has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Galatasaray's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Hatayspor from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Hatayspor has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Galatasaray get in on the action today? There has been a total of 16 goals in the last 5 games for Hatayspor, both home and away.
Hatayspor has fired blanks in 4 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Hatayspor, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (64% of all matches) involving Hatayspor has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Hatayspor will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Galatasaray has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Galatasaray has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Galatasaray and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 6 away trips. Can Hatayspor end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Galatasaray when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Hatayspor stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Galatasaray as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Galatasaray is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Hatayspor, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Galatasaray, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (45% of all matches) involving Galatasaray has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Galatasaray will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Hatayspor a battu Galatasaray 2-1 en Süper Lig le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 16:00 au Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin). xG du match : 0.9 pour Hatayspor, 1.8 pour Galatasaray. Possession : 29% pour Hatayspor, 71% pour Galatasaray. Tirs : 7 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Hatayspor, 19 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Galatasaray. Indice de forme : Hatayspor 3/10, Galatasaray 9.6/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Hatayspor, 0 nul, 5 victoires Galatasaray.
Score final : Hatayspor 2-1 Galatasaray. L'algorithme avait prevu Galatasaray (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.