Moreirense FC vs Benfica - Liga Portugal - Journee 12 - dimanche 3 décembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos)
Score final : Moreirense FC 0-0 Benfica
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica favori avec 48% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Benfica favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.1 pour Moreirense FC, 1.2 pour Benfica. Benfica a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Moreirense FC | 25% | 6,50 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 28% | 4,33 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Benfica | 48% | 1,50 | -19,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 68% | 1,57 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Benfica marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 81% | 1,09 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,80 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 1,95 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,20 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,61 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 31% | 2,75 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 2,15 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 69% | 1,45 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Moreirense FC vs Benfica :
| Statistique | Moreirense FC | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,13 | 1,21 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 32% | 68% |
| Tirs | 14 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 2 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 20 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 | 1.19 | LLWWWW | 9/10 |
| Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | 1.92 | WWWLWD | 8.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Moreirense FC has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Moreirense FC has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Moreirense FC aime jouer à domicile dernièrement, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 3 matchs sans défaite.
Moreirense FC will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Moreirense FC has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Moreirense FC as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Moreirense FC has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Moreirense FC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Benfica, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Moreirense FC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/11 games for Moreirense FC this season.
It's likely that Moreirense FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Benfica has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Benfica has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Benfica and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Moreirense FC end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Benfica when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Moreirense FC stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Benfica as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Benfica has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Benfica is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Moreirense FC, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Benfica has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/11 games for Benfica this season.
It's likely that Benfica will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Moreirense FC a fait match nul contre Benfica 0-0 en Liga Portugal le dimanche 3 décembre 2023 à 18:00 au Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Cónegos). xG du match : 1.1 pour Moreirense FC, 1.2 pour Benfica. Possession : 32% pour Moreirense FC, 68% pour Benfica. Tirs : 14 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Moreirense FC, 17 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Benfica. Indice de forme : Moreirense FC 9/10, Benfica 8.8/10. Sur 21 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Moreirense FC, 4 nuls, 16 victoires Benfica.
Score final : Moreirense FC 0-0 Benfica. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica (48%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.