Al Wahda vs Al Nassr - Saudi Pro League - Journee 13 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00
Stade : King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Makkah (Mecca))
Score final : Al Wahda 1-3 Al Nassr
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Al Nassr favori avec 50% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Al Wahda, 2.0 pour Al Nassr. Al Nassr a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Al Wahda | 26% | 6,00 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 24% | 5,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Al Nassr ✓ | 50% | 1,42 | -20,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Saudi Pro League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,38 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Al Nassr marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 87% | 1,05 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 66% | 1,45 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 34% | 2,50 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 86% | 1,13 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,36 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 46% | 1,90 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 3,00 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 54% | 1,83 | -1,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Al Wahda vs Al Nassr :
| Statistique | Al Wahda | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,62 | 2 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 3 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 17 | 17 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 11 |
| Corners | 4 | 7 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 52 | 38 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wahda | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | 1.41 | WLDLLW | 3.2/10 |
| Al Nassr | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 28 | 1.82 | WWWDDW | 8.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Al Wahda has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Al Wahda has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Al Nassr's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Al Wahda from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Al Wahda ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Al Wahda has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Al Wahda has seen a total of 8/12 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 67% of all matches played.
It's likely that Al Wahda will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Al Nassr has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Al Nassr has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Al Nassr and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Al Wahda end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Al Nassr when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Al Wahda stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Al Nassr as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 12 games for Al Nassr ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Al Nassr is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Al Wahda, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Al Nassr, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (67% of all matches) involving Al Nassr has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Al Nassr will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Al Wahda a perdu contre Al Nassr 1-3 en Saudi Pro League le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 18:00 au King Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium (Makkah (Mecca)). xG du match : 1.6 pour Al Wahda, 2.0 pour Al Nassr. Possession : 40% pour Al Wahda, 60% pour Al Nassr. Tirs : 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Al Wahda, 17 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Al Nassr. Indice de forme : Al Wahda 3.2/10, Al Nassr 8.9/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Al Wahda, 2 nuls, 8 victoires Al Nassr.
Score final : Al Wahda 1-3 Al Nassr. L'algorithme avait prevu Al Nassr (50%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.