Juventus vs Inter Milan - Serie A - Journee 13 - dimanche 26 novembre 2023 à 19:45
Stade : Allianz Stadium (Torino)
Score final : Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Inter Milan favori avec 45% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu Inter Milan favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 0.6 pour Juventus, 1.2 pour Inter Milan. Inter Milan a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Juventus | 24% | 2,95 | -10,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 3,40 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Inter Milan | 45% | 2,38 | +3,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,42 | -8,0% |
| Inter Milan marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,27 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 1,91 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,91 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,00 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 23% | 3,75 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,82 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,28 | -1,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Juventus vs Inter Milan :
| Statistique | Juventus | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,62 | 1,2 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 35% | 65% |
| Tirs | 5 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 2 | 5 |
| Corners | 1 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 20 | 37 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 29 | 1.46 | DDDDDW | 8.8/10 |
| Inter Milan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +23 | 31 | 1.64 | WDWWWW | 9.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Juventus has picked up 15 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 3 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Juventus has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Juventus is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 5 games that they have played at home.
Superbe parcours de Juventus à domicile, où l'équipe est actuellement invaincue depuis 6 matchs. Peuvent-ils enchaîner un nouveau match sans défaite ?
Juventus aura la confiance de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts marqués dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Juventus has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 6 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Juventus as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 5 of the last 5 games they have played.
Juventus has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Juventus is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Inter Milan, having won 5 and drawn 0. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Juventus has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 5 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Juventus this season.
It's likely that Juventus will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Inter Milan has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Inter Milan has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Inter Milan and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 5 away trips. Can Juventus end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Inter Milan when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Juventus stop this run?
La dynamique est vraiment positive pour Inter Milan qui est maintenant invaincu depuis 6 matchs. Ils ont remporté 4 des 5 derniers matchs qu'ils ont joués.
Inter Milan has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Inter Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Juventus, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Inter Milan has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/12 games for Inter Milan this season.
It's likely that Inter Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 12 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Juventus a fait match nul contre Inter Milan 1-1 en Serie A le dimanche 26 novembre 2023 à 19:45 au Allianz Stadium (Torino). xG du match : 0.6 pour Juventus, 1.2 pour Inter Milan. Possession : 35% pour Juventus, 65% pour Inter Milan. Tirs : 5 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Juventus, 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Inter Milan. Indice de forme : Juventus 8.8/10, Inter Milan 9.5/10. Sur 40 confrontations directes : 18 victoires Juventus, 11 nuls, 11 victoires Inter Milan.
Score final : Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan. L'algorithme avait prevu Inter Milan (45%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.