Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC - La Liga - Journee 13 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 13:00
Stade : Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Score final : Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona FC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Girona FC favori avec 36% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.4 pour Rayo Vallecano, 1.9 pour Girona FC. Rayo Vallecano a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Rayo Vallecano | 34% | 2,85 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,30 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Girona FC ✓ | 36% | 2,09 | -12,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,29 | -1,0% |
| Girona FC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 78% | 1,24 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,62 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,20 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,28 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,72 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 3,10 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 43% | 2,00 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,38 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Rayo Vallecano vs Girona FC :
| Statistique | Rayo Vallecano | Girona FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,42 | 1,92 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 23 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 10 | 8 |
| Corners | 8 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 63 | 57 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | -1 | 18 | 1.42 | LLDWLL | 5/10 |
| Girona FC | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 31 | 1.50 | WLWWWW | 8.3/10 |
Coming into this game, Rayo Vallecano has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Rayo Vallecano has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Rayo Vallecano aime évoluer à domicile ces derniers temps, l'équipe étant actuellement sur une série de 4 matchs sans défaite.
Girona FC's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Rayo Vallecano from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Rayo Vallecano as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Girona FC, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Rayo Vallecano, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (33% of all matches) involving Rayo Vallecano has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Girona FC has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Girona FC has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Incredible away form is being show by Girona FC and those travelling fans must be loving it. They have won the last 5 and is unbeaten in 6 away trips. Can Rayo Vallecano end their fairytale away days?
Scoring is not an issue for Girona FC when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Rayo Vallecano stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Girona FC as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Girona FC will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Rayo Vallecano, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Girona FC has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/12 games for Girona FC this season.
It's likely that Girona FC will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Rayo Vallecano a perdu contre Girona FC 1-2 en La Liga le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 13:00 au Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid). xG du match : 2.4 pour Rayo Vallecano, 1.9 pour Girona FC. Possession : 46% pour Rayo Vallecano, 54% pour Girona FC. Tirs : 23 (dont 10 cadrés) pour Rayo Vallecano, 20 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Girona FC. Indice de forme : Rayo Vallecano 5/10, Girona FC 8.3/10. Sur 17 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Rayo Vallecano, 4 nuls, 5 victoires Girona FC.
Score final : Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona FC. L'algorithme avait prevu Girona FC (36%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.