Santa Clara vs Porto II - Liga Pro - Journee 14 - dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 12:00
Stade : Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores)
Score final : Santa Clara 2-1 Porto II
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Santa Clara favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Santa Clara, 0.9 pour Porto II. Santa Clara a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Santa Clara ✓ | 40% | 2,25 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 31% | 3,15 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Porto II | 29% | 3,00 | -4,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Porto II marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,40 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,75 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,00 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,30 | -2,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,88 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,30 | -2,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,82 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,30 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Santa Clara vs Porto II :
| Statistique | Santa Clara | Porto II |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,96 | 0,93 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 45% | 55% |
| Tirs | 8 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 2 |
| Corners | 1 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 32 | 48 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | +13 | 29 | 1.41 | DDWWWW | 8.1/10 |
| Porto II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 21 | 1.48 | LWDLLL | 6.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Santa Clara has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Santa Clara has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Santa Clara at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Porto II's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Santa Clara from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Santa Clara as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Santa Clara ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Santa Clara is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Porto II, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Santa Clara, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 6 matches (46% of all matches) involving Santa Clara has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Santa Clara will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Porto II has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Porto II has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Porto II when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Santa Clara stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 13 games for Porto II ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for Porto II, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (69% of all matches) involving Porto II has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Porto II will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Santa Clara a battu Porto II 2-1 en Liga Pro le dimanche 17 décembre 2023 à 12:00 au Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores). xG du match : 1.0 pour Santa Clara, 0.9 pour Porto II. Possession : 45% pour Santa Clara, 55% pour Porto II. Tirs : 8 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Santa Clara, 10 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Porto II. Indice de forme : Santa Clara 8.1/10, Porto II 6.5/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 4 victoires Santa Clara, 2 nuls, 4 victoires Porto II.
Score final : Santa Clara 2-1 Porto II. L'algorithme avait prevu Santa Clara (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.