GD Estoril Praia vs Farense - Liga Portugal - Journee 15 - samedi 30 décembre 2023 à 15:30
Stade : Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)
Score final : GD Estoril Praia 4-0 Farense
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit GD Estoril Praia favori avec 53% de chances de victoire (nul 26%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.6 pour GD Estoril Praia, 1.1 pour Farense. GD Estoril Praia a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire GD Estoril Praia ✓ | 53% | 2,38 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 26% | 3,40 | -3,0% |
| Victoire Farense | 21% | 2,63 | -17,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Portugal :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 83% | 1,16 | -3,0% |
| Farense marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 64% | 1,36 | -10,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 53% | 1,61 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 47% | 2,15 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,85 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 30% | 2,80 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,85 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,44 | +1,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour GD Estoril Praia vs Farense :
| Statistique | GD Estoril Praia | Farense |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,56 | 1,15 |
| Buts marqués | 4 | 0 |
| Possession | 62% | 38% |
| Tirs | 14 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 3 |
| Corners | 10 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD Estoril Praia | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 14 | 1.32 | LDWLLL | 6.1/10 |
| Farense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 18 | 1.28 | WWWLDD | 5.8/10 |
Coming into this game, GD Estoril Praia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. GD Estoril Praia has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
GD Estoril Praia has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for GD Estoril Praia ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
GD Estoril Praia has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
GD Estoril Praia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Farense, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for GD Estoril Praia has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/14 games for GD Estoril Praia this season.
It's likely that GD Estoril Praia will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Farense has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Farense has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Farense has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Farense enchaîne une bonne série de forme et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
Farense will be looking to keep up the momentum today against GD Estoril Praia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Farense has fired blanks in 5 games this season. That's 36% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Farense, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (50% of all matches) involving Farense has seen BTTS landing.
GD Estoril Praia a battu Farense 4-0 en Liga Portugal le samedi 30 décembre 2023 à 15:30 au Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril). xG du match : 1.6 pour GD Estoril Praia, 1.1 pour Farense. Possession : 62% pour GD Estoril Praia, 38% pour Farense. Tirs : 14 (dont 8 cadrés) pour GD Estoril Praia, 16 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Farense. Indice de forme : GD Estoril Praia 6.1/10, Farense 5.8/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 2 victoires GD Estoril Praia, 0 nul, 3 victoires Farense.
Score final : GD Estoril Praia 4-0 Farense. L'algorithme avait prevu GD Estoril Praia (53%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.