Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok - Ekstraklasa - Journee 15 - samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 19:00
Stade : Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
Score final : Korona Kielce 2-2 Jagiellonia Białystok
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Korona Kielce favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme avait prévu Korona Kielce favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.2 pour Korona Kielce, 1.7 pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Jagiellonia Białystok a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Korona Kielce | 40% | 2,61 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul ✓ | 29% | 3,19 | -2,0% |
| Victoire Jagiellonia Białystok | 31% | 2,39 | -11,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ekstraklasa :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,29 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Jagiellonia Białystok marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,29 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,67 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 40% | 2,10 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,29 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 58% | 1,80 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 35% | 3,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 42% | 1,97 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,36 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok :
| Statistique | Korona Kielce | Jagiellonia Białystok |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,21 | 1,71 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 40% | 60% |
| Tirs | 10 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 6 |
| Corners | 2 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 57 | 65 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 1.50 | WDDLWW | 6/10 |
| Jagiellonia Białystok | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 29 | 1.49 | WDLWDW | 7.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Korona Kielce has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Korona Kielce has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Korona Kielce has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 4 games.
Jagiellonia Białystok's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Korona Kielce from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Korona Kielce as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Korona Kielce is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Jagiellonia Białystok, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Korona Kielce, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (62% of all matches) involving Korona Kielce has seen BTTS landing.
Coming into this game, Jagiellonia Białystok has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Jagiellonia Białystok has scored 15 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Jagiellonia Białystok when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Korona Kielce stop this run?
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Jagiellonia Białystok ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Jagiellonia Białystok will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Korona Kielce, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Jagiellonia Białystok, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (64% of all matches) involving Jagiellonia Białystok has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Jagiellonia Białystok will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 15 goals in the last five games.
Korona Kielce a fait match nul contre Jagiellonia Białystok 2-2 en Ekstraklasa le samedi 11 novembre 2023 à 19:00 au Suzuki Arena (Kielce). xG du match : 1.2 pour Korona Kielce, 1.7 pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Possession : 40% pour Korona Kielce, 60% pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Tirs : 10 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Korona Kielce, 15 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Jagiellonia Białystok. Indice de forme : Korona Kielce 6/10, Jagiellonia Białystok 7.7/10. Sur 28 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Korona Kielce, 8 nuls, 12 victoires Jagiellonia Białystok.
Score final : Korona Kielce 2-2 Jagiellonia Białystok. L'algorithme avait prevu Korona Kielce (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.