AVS vs Leixões - Liga Pro - Journee 16 - dimanche 7 janvier 2024 à 11:00
Stade : Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves)
Score final : AVS 1-3 Leixões
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit AVS favori avec 46% de chances de victoire (nul 30%). L'algorithme avait prévu AVS favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.2 pour AVS, 1.1 pour Leixões. AVS a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire AVS | 46% | 1,64 | -15,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,20 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Leixões ✓ | 24% | 5,34 | +5,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,20 | -6,0% |
| Leixões marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,73 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 48% | 2,20 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 52% | 1,62 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,40 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,25 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 23% | 4,33 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,60 | -6,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 77% | 1,20 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour AVS vs Leixões :
| Statistique | AVS | Leixões |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,16 | 1,1 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 3 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 18 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 8 | 6 |
| Corners | 9 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 83 | 33 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 34 | 1.49 | LLWWWW | 7/10 |
| Leixões | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 14 | 1.41 | DDLDDW | 1.3/10 |
Coming into this game, AVS has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. AVS has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Momentum is really building for AVS as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
AVS has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
AVS will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Leixões, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 1 of the last 5 games for AVS has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/15 games for AVS this season.
It's likely that AVS will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Leixões has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Leixões has scored 1 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Leixões has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Can Leixões turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Leixões recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Leixões has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 47% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 1 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Leixões has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/15 games for Leixões this season.
AVS a perdu contre Leixões 1-3 en Liga Pro le dimanche 7 janvier 2024 à 11:00 au Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves). xG du match : 2.2 pour AVS, 1.1 pour Leixões. Possession : 57% pour AVS, 43% pour Leixões. Tirs : 18 (dont 8 cadrés) pour AVS, 7 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Leixões. Indice de forme : AVS 7/10, Leixões 1.3/10.
Score final : AVS 1-3 Leixões. L'algorithme avait prevu AVS (46%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.