CD Nacional vs CD Tondela - Liga Pro - Journee 16 - samedi 6 janvier 2024 à 18:00
Stade : Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Score final : CD Nacional 1-1 CD Tondela
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit CD Nacional favori avec 40% de chances de victoire (nul 31%). L'algorithme avait prévu CD Nacional favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.4 pour CD Nacional, 1.1 pour CD Tondela. CD Nacional a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire CD Nacional | 40% | 2,04 | -9,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 31% | 3,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire CD Tondela | 30% | 3,44 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| CD Tondela marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,48 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,75 | -3,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,90 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 50% | 1,97 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 28% | 3,40 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 50% | 1,75 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,29 | -6,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour CD Nacional vs CD Tondela :
| Statistique | CD Nacional | CD Tondela |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,39 | 1,11 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 11 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 5 |
| Corners | 5 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 55 | 42 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +17 | 32 | 1.49 | WWWLWW | 8.4/10 |
| CD Tondela | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 23 | 1.34 | LLDLLW | 6.8/10 |
Coming into this game, CD Nacional has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. CD Nacional has scored 12 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CD Nacional is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from CD Nacional at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Le CD Nacional aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
CD Nacional has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 8 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
CD Nacional has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving CD Nacional has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will CD Tondela get in on the action today? There has been a total of 17 goals in the last 5 games for CD Nacional, both home and away.
CD Nacional will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CD Tondela, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for CD Nacional, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (60% of all matches) involving CD Nacional has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that CD Nacional will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 12 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, CD Tondela has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. CD Tondela has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from CD Tondela away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for CD Tondela when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can CD Nacional stop this run?
Le CD Tondela est sur une bonne dynamique et reste désormais sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
CD Tondela has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
CD Tondela will be looking to keep up the momentum today against CD Nacional, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for CD Tondela has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/15 games for CD Tondela this season.
It's likely that CD Tondela will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
CD Nacional a fait match nul contre CD Tondela 1-1 en Liga Pro le samedi 6 janvier 2024 à 18:00 au Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). xG du match : 1.4 pour CD Nacional, 1.1 pour CD Tondela. Possession : 50% pour CD Nacional, 50% pour CD Tondela. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CD Nacional, 8 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CD Tondela. Indice de forme : CD Nacional 8.4/10, CD Tondela 6.8/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 5 victoires CD Nacional, 1 nul, 5 victoires CD Tondela.
Score final : CD Nacional 1-1 CD Tondela. L'algorithme avait prevu CD Nacional (40%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.