Borussia M'gladbach vs Stuttgart - Bundesliga - Journee 17 - dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 16:30
Stade : BORUSSIA-PARK (Mönchengladbach)
Score final : Borussia M'gladbach 3-1 Stuttgart
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Stuttgart favori avec 47% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme avait prévu Stuttgart favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.0 pour Borussia M'gladbach, 1.4 pour Stuttgart. Stuttgart a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Borussia M'gladbach ✓ | 25% | 3,48 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 4,10 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Stuttgart | 47% | 2,07 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 68% | 1,27 | -11,0% |
| Stuttgart marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 81% | 1,12 | -8,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,50 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,50 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 77% | 1,16 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,45 | -16,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 31% | 2,20 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 47% | 2,63 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 69% | 1,65 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Borussia M'gladbach vs Stuttgart :
| Statistique | Borussia M'gladbach | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,97 | 1,43 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 1 |
| Possession | 28% | 72% |
| Tirs | 9 | 16 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 3 |
| Corners | 0 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 16 | 77 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia M'gladbach | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 17 | 1.39 | LLDDDL | 3.4/10 |
| Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 34 | 1.73 | WLDWWW | 6.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Borussia M'gladbach has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Borussia M'gladbach has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Borussia M'gladbach at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Stuttgart's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Borussia M'gladbach from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 11 games involving Borussia M'gladbach has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Stuttgart get in on the action today? There has been a total of 20 goals in the last 5 games for Borussia M'gladbach, both home and away.
The last 5 games for Borussia M'gladbach has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Borussia M'gladbach has seen a total of 13/16 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 81% of all matches played.
It's likely that Borussia M'gladbach will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Stuttgart has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Stuttgart has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 16 games for Stuttgart ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Stuttgart will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Borussia M'gladbach, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Stuttgart has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/16 games for Stuttgart this season.
Borussia M'gladbach a battu Stuttgart 3-1 en Bundesliga le dimanche 14 janvier 2024 à 16:30 au BORUSSIA-PARK (Mönchengladbach). xG du match : 1.0 pour Borussia M'gladbach, 1.4 pour Stuttgart. Possession : 28% pour Borussia M'gladbach, 72% pour Stuttgart. Tirs : 9 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Borussia M'gladbach, 16 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Stuttgart. Indice de forme : Borussia M'gladbach 3.4/10, Stuttgart 6.9/10. Sur 30 confrontations directes : 10 victoires Borussia M'gladbach, 6 nuls, 14 victoires Stuttgart.
Score final : Borussia M'gladbach 3-1 Stuttgart. L'algorithme avait prevu Stuttgart (47%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.