Aston Villa vs Sheffield United - Premier League - Journee 18 - vendredi 22 décembre 2023 à 20:00
Stade : Villa Park (Birmingham)
Score final : Aston Villa 1-1 Sheffield United
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Aston Villa favori avec 77% de chances de victoire (nul 16%). L'algorithme avait prévu Aston Villa favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.6 pour Aston Villa, 0.9 pour Sheffield United. Aston Villa a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Aston Villa | 77% | 1,22 | -5,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 16% | 6,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Sheffield United | 7% | 11,00 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Premier League :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,05 | -4,0% |
| Sheffield United marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 42% | 1,87 | -11,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 2,00 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,75 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,14 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 56% | 1,45 | -13,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,14 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 44% | 2,70 | +7,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,69 | +8,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Aston Villa vs Sheffield United :
| Statistique | Aston Villa | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,56 | 0,87 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 1 |
| Possession | 78% | 22% |
| Tirs | 13 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 9 | 1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 88 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | +16 | 38 | 1.55 | WWDLDL | 8.7/10 |
| Sheffield United | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -31 | 8 | 0.96 | DLLLWL | 1.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Aston Villa has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Aston Villa has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Aston Villa is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 8 games that they have played at home.
Aston Villa aura la confiance nécessaire pour marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Aston Villa has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 8 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Aston Villa as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Aston Villa is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Sheffield United, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Aston Villa, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (65% of all matches) involving Aston Villa has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Aston Villa will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Sheffield United has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Sheffield United has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Sheffield United recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Sheffield United has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 41% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Sheffield United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/17 games for Sheffield United this season.
Aston Villa a fait match nul contre Sheffield United 1-1 en Premier League le vendredi 22 décembre 2023 à 20:00 au Villa Park (Birmingham). xG du match : 1.6 pour Aston Villa, 0.9 pour Sheffield United. Possession : 78% pour Aston Villa, 22% pour Sheffield United. Tirs : 13 (dont 5 cadrés) pour Aston Villa, 7 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Sheffield United. Indice de forme : Aston Villa 8.7/10, Sheffield United 1.1/10. Sur 10 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Aston Villa, 3 nuls, 4 victoires Sheffield United.
Score final : Aston Villa 1-1 Sheffield United. L'algorithme avait prevu Aston Villa (77%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.