Albacete Balompié vs Villarreal II - Liga 2 - Journee 19 - vendredi 8 décembre 2023 à 17:30
Stade : Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)
Score final : Albacete Balompié 2-0 Villarreal II
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Albacete Balompié favori avec 52% de chances de victoire (nul 28%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Albacete Balompié, 0.8 pour Villarreal II. Albacete Balompié a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Albacete Balompié ✓ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
| Match nul | 28% | 3,60 | 0,0% |
| Victoire Villarreal II | 20% | 4,60 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga 2 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete Balompié marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,17 | -5,0% |
| Villarreal II marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 60% | 1,63 | -1,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 48% | 1,91 | -4,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 52% | 1,80 | -4,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,29 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,95 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 25% | 3,34 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,70 | -5,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,26 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Albacete Balompié vs Villarreal II :
| Statistique | Albacete Balompié | Villarreal II |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,82 | 0,75 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 0 |
| Possession | 53% | 47% |
| Tirs | 19 | 8 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 2 |
| Corners | 4 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 61 | 30 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete Balompié | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 21 | 1.62 | WWWDDD | 4/10 |
| Villarreal II | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 20 | 1.35 | LLWDLW | 3.5/10 |
Coming into this game, Albacete Balompié has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Albacete Balompié has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Albacete Balompié has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Villarreal II's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Albacete Balompié from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Albacete Balompié will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Villarreal II, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 1 and drawn 3
In the last 5 matches for Albacete Balompié, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (61% of all matches) involving Albacete Balompié has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Albacete Balompié will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Villarreal II has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Villarreal II has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Villarreal II has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 5 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 3 occasions.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Villarreal II recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Villarreal II has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That's 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 0 of the last 5 games for Villarreal II has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/18 games for Villarreal II this season.
Albacete Balompié a battu Villarreal II 2-0 en Liga 2 le vendredi 8 décembre 2023 à 17:30 au Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete). xG du match : 1.8 pour Albacete Balompié, 0.8 pour Villarreal II. Possession : 53% pour Albacete Balompié, 47% pour Villarreal II. Tirs : 19 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Albacete Balompié, 8 (dont 2 cadrés) pour Villarreal II. Indice de forme : Albacete Balompié 4/10, Villarreal II 3.5/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 2 victoires Albacete Balompié, 3 nuls, 3 victoires Villarreal II.
Score final : Albacete Balompié 2-0 Villarreal II. L'algorithme avait prevu Albacete Balompié (52%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.