Ascoli vs Cittadella - Serie B - Journee 19 - mardi 26 décembre 2023 à 14:00
Stade : Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)
Score final : Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Cittadella favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme avait prévu Cittadella favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.5 pour Ascoli, 1.4 pour Cittadella. Ascoli a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ascoli | 32% | 2,78 | -4,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 33% | 2,98 | -1,0% |
| Victoire Cittadella | 35% | 2,35 | -8,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 70% | 1,38 | -2,0% |
| Cittadella marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 72% | 1,33 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,90 | -2,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 1,80 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 71% | 1,50 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 46% | 2,25 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 24% | 4,18 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 1,65 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,23 | -5,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ascoli vs Cittadella :
| Statistique | Ascoli | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,49 | 1,44 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 0 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 13 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50 | 55 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 16 | 1.26 | DDWLDW | 1.5/10 |
| Cittadella | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +5 | 32 | 1.42 | WWWWDW | 8.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Ascoli has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Ascoli has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
In the last 5 matches for Ascoli, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (47% of all matches) involving Ascoli has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Ascoli will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 4 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Cittadella has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Cittadella has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Cittadella has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Cittadella when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 7 games they have played on the road. Can Ascoli stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Cittadella as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Cittadella has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 5 occasions.
Cittadella is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Ascoli, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Cittadella has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/17 games for Cittadella this season.
It's likely that Cittadella will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Ascoli a fait match nul contre Cittadella 0-0 en Serie B le mardi 26 décembre 2023 à 14:00 au Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno). xG du match : 1.5 pour Ascoli, 1.4 pour Cittadella. Possession : 48% pour Ascoli, 52% pour Cittadella. Tirs : 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Ascoli, 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Cittadella. Indice de forme : Ascoli 1.5/10, Cittadella 8.9/10. Sur 23 confrontations directes : 8 victoires Ascoli, 5 nuls, 10 victoires Cittadella.
Score final : Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella. L'algorithme avait prevu Cittadella (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.