Ascoli vs Palermo - Serie B - Journee 11 - vendredi 6 novembre 2026 à 19:30
Stade : Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Selon l'algorithme Pronalgo, Palermo est favori de ce match avec 38% de chances de s'imposer.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Ascoli | 32% | 3,00 | -1,0% |
| Match nul | 30% | 3,60 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Palermo | 38% | 2,13 | -9,0% |
Un edge positif signale un value bet : la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépasse la probabilité implicite de la cote (1/cote).
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie B :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli marque (HS) | 75% | 1,27 | -4,0% |
| Palermo marque (AS) | 79% | 1,22 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) | 59% | 1,50 | -8,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) | 41% | 2,40 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) | 79% | 1,14 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) | 56% | 1,59 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) | 34% | 2,33 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) | 44% | 2,20 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) | 66% | 1,45 | -3,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Ascoli vs Palermo :
| Statistique | Ascoli | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,55 | 1,89 |
| Buts marqués | 1,6 | 2,4 |
| Possession | 63,3% | 49,4% |
| Tirs | 13,7 | 18,1 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4,5 | 6,1 |
| Corners | 6,7 | 4,1 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 50,3 | 45,4 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 19 | 1.55 | WDDWWD | 7/10 |
| Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 26 | 1.89 | WWWWDW | 8.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Ascoli has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Ascoli has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Ascoli at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Ascoli aura confiance en ses chances de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record de buts inscrits lors de chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Ascoli has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 5 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Ascoli as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Ascoli has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 4 occasions.
Ascoli is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Palermo, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Les choses n'ont pas si bien fonctionné devant le but pour Ascoli récemment, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 2 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Ascoli has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 5/10 games for Ascoli this season.
Coming into this game, Palermo has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Palermo has scored 14 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Palermo away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Palermo when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Ascoli stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Palermo as they have now gone 10 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Palermo ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Palermo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Ascoli, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 14 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Palermo, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (80% of all matches) involving Palermo has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Palermo will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 14 goals in the last five games.
Ascoli affronte Palermo en Serie B (journée 11) le vendredi 6 novembre 2026 à 19:30 au Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. xG moyen : 1.6 pour Ascoli, 1.9 pour Palermo. Buts moyens/match : 1.6 pour Ascoli, 2.4 pour Palermo. Possession : 63.3% pour Ascoli, 49.4% pour Palermo. Tirs : 13.7 (dont 4.5 cadrés) pour Ascoli, 18.1 (dont 6.1 cadrés) pour Palermo. Indice de forme : Ascoli 7/10, Palermo 8.8/10. Sur 8 confrontations directes : 1 victoire Ascoli, 2 nuls, 5 victoires Palermo.
Notre algorithme favorise Palermo (38%) pour ce match. Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.