AVS vs CS Marítimo - Liga Pro - Journee 19 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 11:00
Stade : Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves)
Score final : AVS 3-2 CS Marítimo
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit AVS favori avec 35% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.3 pour AVS, 1.5 pour CS Marítimo. CS Marítimo a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire AVS ✓ | 35% | 2,42 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,25 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire CS Marítimo | 32% | 3,05 | -1,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVS marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| CS Marítimo marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,87 | 0,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,87 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,38 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 49% | 2,15 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 27% | 4,00 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 51% | 1,65 | -10,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,22 | -9,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour AVS vs CS Marítimo :
| Statistique | AVS | CS Marítimo |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,3 | 1,51 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 46% | 54% |
| Tirs | 10 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 5 |
| Corners | 2 | 4 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 71 | 90 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVS | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +10 | 37 | 1.55 | WWWLLW | 6.3/10 |
| CS Marítimo | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +10 | 31 | 1.43 | WWDDDW | 7.1/10 |
Coming into this game, AVS has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. AVS has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CS Marítimo's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop AVS from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for AVS ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
In the last 5 matches for AVS, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (44% of all matches) involving AVS has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that AVS will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, CS Marítimo has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. CS Marítimo has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
CS Marítimo has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Scoring is not an issue for CS Marítimo when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 9 games they have played on the road. Can AVS stop this run?
Momentum is really building for CS Marítimo as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
CS Marítimo is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against AVS, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for CS Marítimo, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (56% of all matches) involving CS Marítimo has seen BTTS landing.
AVS a battu CS Marítimo 3-2 en Liga Pro le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 11:00 au Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves (Vila das Aves). xG du match : 1.3 pour AVS, 1.5 pour CS Marítimo. Possession : 46% pour AVS, 54% pour CS Marítimo. Tirs : 10 (dont 4 cadrés) pour AVS, 12 (dont 5 cadrés) pour CS Marítimo. Indice de forme : AVS 6.3/10, CS Marítimo 7.1/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 1 victoire AVS, 0 nul, 0 victoire CS Marítimo.
Score final : AVS 3-2 CS Marítimo. L'algorithme avait prevu AVS (35%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.