Benfica II vs União de Leiria - Liga Pro - Journee 19 - lundi 29 janvier 2024 à 16:00
Stade : Caixa Futebol Campus (Seixal)
Score final : Benfica II 0-1 União de Leiria
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Benfica II favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 33%). L'algorithme avait prévu Benfica II favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.8 pour Benfica II, 1.0 pour União de Leiria. Benfica II a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Benfica II | 41% | 2,35 | -2,0% |
| Match nul | 33% | 3,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire União de Leiria ✓ | 26% | 2,80 | -10,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica II marque (HS) manqué ✗ | 73% | 1,29 | -5,0% |
| União de Leiria marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,38 | -9,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 46% | 1,73 | -12,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 54% | 2,00 | +4,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,33 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,00 | -9,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 20% | 3,50 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,73 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 80% | 1,29 | +2,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Benfica II vs União de Leiria :
| Statistique | Benfica II | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,76 | 1 |
| Buts marqués | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 57% | 43% |
| Tirs | 17 | 7 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 3 |
| Corners | 9 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 97 | 57 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica II | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 26 | 1.47 | LLDDWW | 8.2/10 |
| União de Leiria | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 20 | 1.27 | WWLLWL | 2.1/10 |
Coming into this game, Benfica II has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Benfica II has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Benfica II at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
União de Leiria's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Benfica II from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Benfica II as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Benfica II ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Benfica II is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against União de Leiria, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Benfica II, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (67% of all matches) involving Benfica II has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Benfica II will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, União de Leiria has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. União de Leiria has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can União de Leiria turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Les choses ne se passent pas si bien devant le but pour União de Leiria ces derniers temps, l'équipe n'ayant pas réussi à marquer lors de 3 de ses 5 derniers matchs. L'entraîneur va-t-il changer ses tactiques aujourd'hui, ou lancer un autre attaquant ?
União de Leiria has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for União de Leiria has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/18 games for União de Leiria this season.
União de Leiria will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 2 times and overall this season they have scored 1.28 goals per game.
Benfica II a perdu contre União de Leiria 0-1 en Liga Pro le lundi 29 janvier 2024 à 16:00 au Caixa Futebol Campus (Seixal). xG du match : 1.8 pour Benfica II, 1.0 pour União de Leiria. Possession : 57% pour Benfica II, 43% pour União de Leiria. Tirs : 17 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Benfica II, 7 (dont 3 cadrés) pour União de Leiria. Indice de forme : Benfica II 8.2/10, União de Leiria 2.1/10. Sur 1 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Benfica II, 0 nul, 1 victoire União de Leiria.
Score final : Benfica II 0-1 União de Leiria. L'algorithme avait prevu Benfica II (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.