Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 19 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 12:30
Stade : Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)
Score final : Greuther Fürth 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Greuther Fürth favori avec 41% de chances de victoire (nul 29%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.9 pour Greuther Fürth, 1.0 pour Holstein Kiel. Greuther Fürth a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Greuther Fürth ✓ | 41% | 1,98 | -10,0% |
| Match nul | 29% | 3,70 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Holstein Kiel | 30% | 3,40 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,15 | -8,0% |
| Holstein Kiel marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 74% | 1,30 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,53 | -6,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 41% | 2,38 | -1,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,15 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,57 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 33% | 2,25 | -11,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,20 | -1,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 67% | 1,57 | +3,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel :
| Statistique | Greuther Fürth | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,87 | 0,97 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 48% | 52% |
| Tirs | 24 | 13 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 3 |
| Corners | 10 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 60 | 26 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Fürth | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +8 | 32 | 1.47 | WLWDDW | 7.7/10 |
| Holstein Kiel | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 35 | 1.62 | WWLWDW | 8/10 |
Coming into this game, Greuther Fürth has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Greuther Fürth has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Greuther Fürth at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Holstein Kiel's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Greuther Fürth from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Greuther Fürth as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Greuther Fürth has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
Greuther Fürth is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Holstein Kiel, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Greuther Fürth has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/18 games for Greuther Fürth this season.
It's likely that Greuther Fürth will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Holstein Kiel has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Holstein Kiel has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Holstein Kiel away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Holstein Kiel when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 8 games they have played on the road. Can Greuther Fürth stop this run?
Holstein Kiel has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
Holstein Kiel will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Greuther Fürth, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Holstein Kiel has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/18 games for Holstein Kiel this season.
It's likely that Holstein Kiel will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Greuther Fürth a battu Holstein Kiel 2-1 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 12:30 au Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth). xG du match : 1.9 pour Greuther Fürth, 1.0 pour Holstein Kiel. Possession : 48% pour Greuther Fürth, 52% pour Holstein Kiel. Tirs : 24 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Greuther Fürth, 13 (dont 3 cadrés) pour Holstein Kiel. Indice de forme : Greuther Fürth 7.7/10, Holstein Kiel 8/10. Sur 11 confrontations directes : 3 victoires Greuther Fürth, 4 nuls, 4 victoires Holstein Kiel.
Score final : Greuther Fürth 2-1 Holstein Kiel. L'algorithme avait prevu Greuther Fürth (41%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.