Hamburger SV vs Karlsruher SC - 2. Bundesliga - Journee 19 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 12:30
Stade : Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Score final : Hamburger SV 3-4 Karlsruher SC
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Hamburger SV favori avec 55% de chances de victoire (nul 24%). L'algorithme avait prévu Hamburger SV favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 2.5 pour Hamburger SV, 1.6 pour Karlsruher SC. Hamburger SV a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Hamburger SV | 55% | 1,63 | -6,0% |
| Match nul | 24% | 4,30 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Karlsruher SC ✓ | 20% | 4,50 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de 2. Bundesliga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,07 | -8,0% |
| Karlsruher SC marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,30 | -12,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,40 | -16,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 2,75 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 79% | 1,11 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,29 | -22,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 33% | 1,87 | -20,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 44% | 2,97 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 67% | 1,83 | +12,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Hamburger SV vs Karlsruher SC :
| Statistique | Hamburger SV | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,46 | 1,65 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 4 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Tirs | 22 | 15 |
| Tirs cadrés | 11 | 8 |
| Corners | 11 | 2 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 67 | 28 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 34 | 1.75 | LWDLWW | 5.8/10 |
| Karlsruher SC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 24 | 1.64 | DWWWLW | 6.9/10 |
Coming into this game, Hamburger SV has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Hamburger SV has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Hamburger SV aura à cœur de marquer aujourd'hui et cherchera à maintenir son record d'au moins un but inscrit dans chaque match à domicile cette saison.
Hamburger SV has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 8 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.
Le Hamburger SV a enchaîné une bonne série et reste sur 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 10 games for Hamburger SV ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Hamburger SV will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Karlsruher SC, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Hamburger SV, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (56% of all matches) involving Hamburger SV has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Hamburger SV will score today, as they have netted in the last 18 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Karlsruher SC has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Karlsruher SC has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Karlsruher SC has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Scoring is not an issue for Karlsruher SC when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Hamburger SV stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Karlsruher SC as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 15 games for Karlsruher SC ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Karlsruher SC is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Hamburger SV, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.
The last 5 games for Karlsruher SC has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Karlsruher SC has seen a total of 13/18 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 72% of all matches played.
It's likely that Karlsruher SC will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.
Hamburger SV a perdu contre Karlsruher SC 3-4 en 2. Bundesliga le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 12:30 au Volksparkstadion (Hamburg). xG du match : 2.5 pour Hamburger SV, 1.6 pour Karlsruher SC. Possession : 61% pour Hamburger SV, 39% pour Karlsruher SC. Tirs : 22 (dont 11 cadrés) pour Hamburger SV, 15 (dont 8 cadrés) pour Karlsruher SC. Indice de forme : Hamburger SV 5.8/10, Karlsruher SC 6.9/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 7 victoires Hamburger SV, 5 nuls, 3 victoires Karlsruher SC.
Score final : Hamburger SV 3-4 Karlsruher SC. L'algorithme avait prevu Hamburger SV (55%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.