PSG vs Brest - Ligue 1 - Journee 19 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 19:45
Stade : Parc des Princes (Paris)
Score final : PSG 2-2 Brest
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PSG favori avec 67% de chances de victoire (nul 19%). L'algorithme avait prévu PSG favori, le résultat ne l'a pas suivi.
xG du match : 1.3 pour PSG, 1.4 pour Brest. Brest a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire PSG | 67% | 1,33 | -8,0% |
| Match nul ✓ | 19% | 5,50 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Brest | 14% | 7,00 | 0,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Ligue 1 :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 91% | 1,08 | -2,0% |
| Brest marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 63% | 1,58 | 0,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 57% | 1,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 43% | 1,95 | -8,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,18 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 65% | 1,55 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 43% | 2,14 | -4,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 35% | 2,40 | -7,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 57% | 1,63 | -4,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour PSG vs Brest :
| Statistique | PSG | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,26 | 1,37 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 2 |
| Possession | 54% | 46% |
| Tirs | 11 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 5 | 7 |
| Corners | 7 | 0 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 54 | 42 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSG | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +30 | 43 | 1.75 | WWDLWW | 9.3/10 |
| Brest | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +12 | 34 | 1.59 | LLWDDW | 9.8/10 |
Coming into this game, PSG has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. PSG has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PSG is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 6 games that they have played at home.
Brest's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop PSG from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for PSG as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for PSG ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PSG is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Brest, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for PSG, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (56% of all matches) involving PSG has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that PSG will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Brest has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Brest has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Brest has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Brest as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Brest has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Brest is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against PSG, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Brest has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/18 games for Brest this season.
It's likely that Brest will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
PSG a fait match nul contre Brest 2-2 en Ligue 1 le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 19:45 au Parc des Princes (Paris). xG du match : 1.3 pour PSG, 1.4 pour Brest. Possession : 54% pour PSG, 46% pour Brest. Tirs : 11 (dont 5 cadrés) pour PSG, 10 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Brest. Indice de forme : PSG 9.3/10, Brest 9.8/10. Sur 15 confrontations directes : 14 victoires PSG, 1 nul, 0 victoire Brest.
Score final : PSG 2-2 Brest. L'algorithme avait prevu PSG (67%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.