Salernitana vs Juventus - Serie A - Journee 19 - dimanche 7 janvier 2024 à 17:00
Stade : Stadio Arechi (Salerno)
Score final : Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Juventus favori avec 51% de chances de victoire (nul 25%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 0.9 pour Salernitana, 1.6 pour Juventus. Juventus a créé davantage de danger.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Salernitana | 24% | 6,50 | +9,0% (value bet) |
| Match nul | 25% | 4,10 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Juventus ✓ | 51% | 1,47 | -17,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Serie A :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,77 | +16,0% (value bet) |
| Juventus marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 85% | 1,14 | -3,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 2,05 | +12,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 39% | 1,70 | -20,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,30 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,78 | +5,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 3,40 | +10,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 39% | 1,89 | -14,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 61% | 1,32 | -15,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Salernitana vs Juventus :
| Statistique | Salernitana | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 0,89 | 1,64 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 29% | 71% |
| Tirs | 9 | 20 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 2 | 8 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 23 | 73 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -21 | 12 | 1.15 | WLLLDW | 3.2/10 |
| Juventus | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +16 | 43 | 1.39 | DDDDDW | 7.8/10 |
Coming into this game, Salernitana has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Salernitana has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Juventus's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Salernitana from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
Salernitana has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Salernitana has fired blanks in 8 games this season. That's 44% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 5 goals.
In the last 5 matches for Salernitana, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 9 matches (50% of all matches) involving Salernitana has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Salernitana will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 5 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Juventus has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Juventus has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Juventus away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for Juventus when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Salernitana stop this run?
Momentum is really building for Juventus as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Juventus is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Salernitana, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Juventus, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 8 matches (44% of all matches) involving Juventus has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Juventus will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Salernitana a perdu contre Juventus 1-2 en Serie A le dimanche 7 janvier 2024 à 17:00 au Stadio Arechi (Salerno). xG du match : 0.9 pour Salernitana, 1.6 pour Juventus. Possession : 29% pour Salernitana, 71% pour Juventus. Tirs : 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Salernitana, 20 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Juventus. Indice de forme : Salernitana 3.2/10, Juventus 7.8/10. Sur 5 confrontations directes : 0 victoire Salernitana, 1 nul, 4 victoires Juventus.
Score final : Salernitana 1-2 Juventus. L'algorithme avait prevu Juventus (51%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.