PAOK vs Panathinaikos - Super League grèque - Journee 20 - dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 18:30
Stade : Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki)
Score final : PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit PAOK favori avec 37% de chances de victoire (nul 32%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour PAOK, 1.3 pour Panathinaikos. PAOK a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire PAOK ✓ | 37% | 2,20 | -8,0% |
| Match nul | 32% | 3,30 | +2,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Panathinaikos | 31% | 3,05 | -2,0% |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Super League grèque :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 76% | 1,29 | -2,0% |
| Panathinaikos marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 72% | 1,36 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 55% | 1,80 | -1,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 45% | 1,95 | -6,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 75% | 1,33 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 51% | 1,95 | 0,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 29% | 3,60 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 49% | 1,75 | -8,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 71% | 1,28 | -7,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour PAOK vs Panathinaikos :
| Statistique | PAOK | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,44 | 1,25 |
| Buts marqués | 2 | 1 |
| Possession | 39% | 61% |
| Tirs | 13 | 10 |
| Tirs cadrés | 6 | 6 |
| Corners | 3 | 6 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 53 | 35 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | +39 | 44 | 1.67 | DLDWWW | 9.8/10 |
| Panathinaikos | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | +35 | 44 | 1.70 | WWWLLL | 7.6/10 |
Coming into this game, PAOK has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. PAOK has scored 20 times in the last 5 fixtures.
PAOK is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 7 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from PAOK at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 10 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Panathinaikos's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop PAOK from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 7 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Le PAOK traverse une bonne période de forme et reste sur une série de 2 matchs sans défaite.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 15 games for PAOK ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
PAOK has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
PAOK will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Panathinaikos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
Just 2 of the last 5 games for PAOK has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/19 games for PAOK this season.
It's likely that PAOK will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 20 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Panathinaikos has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Panathinaikos has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Panathinaikos has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Panathinaikos as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Il est possible que nous voyions quelques buts ici, les 8 derniers matchs de Panathinaikos s'étant terminés avec 2 buts ou plus inscrits.
Le Panathinaikos a gardé sa cage inviolée 3 fois lors de ses 5 derniers matchs, concédant 3 buts sur cette période. Globalement cette saison, leur défense a réalisé un clean sheet à 11 reprises.
Panathinaikos is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against PAOK, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Panathinaikos has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/19 games for Panathinaikos this season.
It's likely that Panathinaikos will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
PAOK a battu Panathinaikos 2-1 en Super League grèque le dimanche 28 janvier 2024 à 18:30 au Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki). xG du match : 1.4 pour PAOK, 1.3 pour Panathinaikos. Possession : 39% pour PAOK, 61% pour Panathinaikos. Tirs : 13 (dont 6 cadrés) pour PAOK, 10 (dont 6 cadrés) pour Panathinaikos. Indice de forme : PAOK 9.8/10, Panathinaikos 7.6/10. Sur 42 confrontations directes : 16 victoires PAOK, 11 nuls, 15 victoires Panathinaikos.
Score final : PAOK 2-1 Panathinaikos. L'algorithme avait prevu PAOK (37%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.