Academico Viseu vs FC Penafiel - Liga Pro - Journee 21 - samedi 10 février 2024 à 11:00
Stade : Estádio Municipal do Fontelo (Viseu)
Score final : Academico Viseu 1-0 FC Penafiel
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Academico Viseu favori avec 38% de chances de victoire (nul 34%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 1.4 pour Academico Viseu, 1.2 pour FC Penafiel. Academico Viseu a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Academico Viseu ✓ | 38% | 2,00 | -12,0% |
| Match nul | 34% | 3,25 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire FC Penafiel | 27% | 3,80 | +1,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de Liga Pro :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 70% | 1,25 | -10,0% |
| FC Penafiel marque (AS) manqué ✗ | 62% | 1,57 | -2,0% |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) manqué ✗ | 44% | 1,87 | -9,0% |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) réalisé ✓ | 56% | 1,83 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) manqué ✗ | 65% | 1,33 | -10,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) manqué ✗ | 38% | 2,20 | -7,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) manqué ✗ | 18% | 3,70 | -9,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) réalisé ✓ | 62% | 1,62 | 0,0% |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,22 | 0,0% |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Academico Viseu vs FC Penafiel :
| Statistique | Academico Viseu | FC Penafiel |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 1,42 | 1,24 |
| Buts marqués | 1 | 0 |
| Possession | 50% | 50% |
| Tirs | 12 | 9 |
| Tirs cadrés | 4 | 4 |
| Corners | 8 | 5 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 69 | 61 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | +2 | 27 | 1.28 | DWWDWD | 7/10 |
| FC Penafiel | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 25 | 1.41 | WDWLLD | 6/10 |
Coming into this game, Academico Viseu has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Academico Viseu has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Academico Viseu at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 6 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Momentum is really building for Academico Viseu as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
Academico Viseu is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against FC Penafiel, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 7 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Academico Viseu, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (53% of all matches) involving Academico Viseu has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Academico Viseu will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, FC Penafiel has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. FC Penafiel has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
FC Penafiel has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
FC Penafiel will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Academico Viseu, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
FC Penafiel has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That's 45% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 6 goals.
In the last 5 matches for FC Penafiel, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (35% of all matches) involving FC Penafiel has seen BTTS landing.
Academico Viseu a battu FC Penafiel 1-0 en Liga Pro le samedi 10 février 2024 à 11:00 au Estádio Municipal do Fontelo (Viseu). xG du match : 1.4 pour Academico Viseu, 1.2 pour FC Penafiel. Possession : 50% pour Academico Viseu, 50% pour FC Penafiel. Tirs : 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Academico Viseu, 9 (dont 4 cadrés) pour FC Penafiel. Indice de forme : Academico Viseu 7/10, FC Penafiel 6/10. Sur 18 confrontations directes : 6 victoires Academico Viseu, 5 nuls, 7 victoires FC Penafiel.
Score final : Academico Viseu 1-0 FC Penafiel. L'algorithme avait prevu Academico Viseu (38%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.