Real Madrid vs Almería - La Liga - Journee 21 - dimanche 21 janvier 2024 à 15:15
Stade : Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Score final : Real Madrid 3-2 Almería
Avant ce match, l'algorithme Pronalgo avait prédit Real Madrid favori avec 66% de chances de victoire (nul 20%). L'algorithme Pronalgo avait correctement prévu ce résultat.
xG du match : 2.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.0 pour Almería. Real Madrid a dominé les occasions créées.
| Issue | Probabilité Pronalgo | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoire Real Madrid ✓ | 66% | 1,18 | -19,0% |
| Match nul | 20% | 8,30 | +8,0% (value bet) |
| Victoire Almería | 14% | 14,00 | +7,0% (value bet) |
L'issue réalisée est marquée d'un ✓. Un edge positif signifie que la probabilité estimée par l'algorithme dépassait la probabilité implicite de la cote.
Les marchés buts analysés par notre modèle pour cette rencontre de La Liga :
| Marché | Probabilité | Cote | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid marque (HS) réalisé ✓ | 89% | 1,02 | -9,0% |
| Almería marque (AS) réalisé ✓ | 59% | 1,78 | +3,0% (value bet) |
| Les deux équipes marquent (BTTS Yes) réalisé ✓ | 53% | 1,91 | +1,0% (value bet) |
| Au moins un clean sheet (BTTS No) manqué ✗ | 47% | 1,91 | -5,0% |
| Plus de 1,5 but (O1.5) réalisé ✓ | 82% | 1,08 | -11,0% |
| Plus de 2,5 buts (O2.5) réalisé ✓ | 60% | 1,23 | -21,0% |
| Plus de 3,5 buts (O3.5) réalisé ✓ | 38% | 1,70 | -21,0% |
| Moins de 2,5 buts (U2.5) manqué ✗ | 40% | 3,46 | +11,0% (value bet) |
| Moins de 3,5 buts (U3.5) manqué ✗ | 62% | 2,05 | +13,0% (value bet) |
Scores les plus probables selon Pronalgo pour Real Madrid vs Almería :
| Statistique | Real Madrid | Almería |
|---|---|---|
| xG (buts attendus) | 2,15 | 0,97 |
| Buts marqués | 3 | 2 |
| Possession | 73% | 27% |
| Tirs | 19 | 12 |
| Tirs cadrés | 7 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 3 |
| Attaques dangereuses | 99 | 25 |
| Equipe | J | V | N | D | +/- | Pts | xG/match | Forme | Indice de forme |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +29 | 48 | 1.78 | WWWWDD | 9.3/10 |
| Almería | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -24 | 6 | 1.35 | DLDLLD | 1.7/10 |
Coming into this game, Real Madrid has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Real Madrid has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Le Real Madrid est en grande forme, et les supporters à domicile doivent apprécier. Ils ont remporté les 4 derniers matchs qu'ils ont joués à domicile.
Superb stuff from Real Madrid at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Almería's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Real Madrid from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Real Madrid as they have now gone 13 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Real Madrid has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Real Madrid is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Almería, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 9 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Real Madrid has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/19 games for Real Madrid this season.
It's likely that Real Madrid will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Coming into this game, Almería has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Almería has scored 3 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Can Almería turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Almería recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Almería has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/20 games for Almería this season.
Almería will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 3 times and overall this season they have scored 0.95 goals per game.
Real Madrid a battu Almería 3-2 en La Liga le dimanche 21 janvier 2024 à 15:15 au Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid). xG du match : 2.1 pour Real Madrid, 1.0 pour Almería. Possession : 73% pour Real Madrid, 27% pour Almería. Tirs : 19 (dont 7 cadrés) pour Real Madrid, 12 (dont 4 cadrés) pour Almería. Indice de forme : Real Madrid 9.3/10, Almería 1.7/10. Sur 13 confrontations directes : 11 victoires Real Madrid, 2 nuls, 0 victoire Almería.
Score final : Real Madrid 3-2 Almería. L'algorithme avait prevu Real Madrid (66%). Retrouvez ci-dessous les principales recherches sur cette rencontre :
Retrouvez ce prono et tous les pronos du jour, recalcules a chaque mise a jour des donnees, sur Pronalgo.